Constituency

Leeds North East

ONS code: E14001321
Lookup slug: leeds-north-east

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Leeds North East, Yorkshire and the Humber

Winner: Labour
Margin: 27.9% (12,623 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 64.4% / 70,178
Second place: Green Party 16.2%

LABLabour

44.1%-7.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

16.2%+3.1 pts

CONConservative

14.5%-1.4 pts

RFMReform UK

12.9%+5.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

5.3%+0.5 pts

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

4.7%+0.1 pts

OthOther

2.3%-0.2 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Leeds North EastE14001321Electorate 70,178Valid votes 45,167Invalid votes 221Majority 16,083

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Fabian Hamilton	Labour	23,260	51.5%	Elected
2	Chris Whiteside	Conservative	7,177	15.9%
3	Louise Jennings	Green Party	5,911	13.1%
4	Keiran White	Reform UK	3,426	7.6%
5	Gary Busuttil	Liberal Democrat	2,168	4.8%
6	Dawud Islam	Workers Party of Britain	2,067	4.6%
7	Ian Cowling	The Yorkshire Party	574	1.3%
8	Mike Davies	Alliance for Green Socialism	259	0.6%
9	Cordelia Lynan	Social Democratic Party	125	0.3%
10	Christopher Nicholson	Christian Peoples Alliance	109	0.2%
11	Stewart Hey	Climate Party	91	0.2%

2019 general election

Leeds North EastE14000779Electorate 70,580Valid votes 50,500Invalid votes 531Majority 17,089

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Fabian Hamilton	Labour	29,024	57.5%	Elected
2	Amjad Bashir	Conservative	11,935	23.6%
3	Jon Hannah	Liberal Democrat	5,665	11.2%
4	Rachel Hartshorne	Green Party	1,931	3.8%
5	Inaya Folarin Iman	The Brexit Party	1,769	3.5%
6	Celia Foote	Alliance for Green Socialism	176	0.3%

2017 general election

Leeds North EastE14000779Electorate 70,112Valid votes 52,999Invalid votes 103Majority 16,991

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Fabian Hamilton	Labour	33,436	63.1%	Elected
2	Ryan Stephenson	Conservative	16,445	31.0%
3	Jon Hannah	Liberal Democrat	1,952	3.7%
4	Ann Forsaith	Green Party	680	1.3%
5	Tess Seddon	The Yorkshire Party	303	0.6%
6	Celia Foote	Alliance for Green Socialism	116	0.2%
7	Tim Mutamiri	Christian Peoples Alliance	67	0.1%

2015 general election

Leeds North EastE14000779Electorate 69,097Valid votes 48,291Invalid votes 239Majority 7,250

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Fabian Hamilton	Labour	23,137	47.9%	Elected
2	Simon Wilson	Conservative	15,887	32.9%
3	Warren Hendon	UK Independence Party	3,706	7.7%
4	Aqila Choudhry	Liberal Democrat	2,569	5.3%
5	Emma Carter	Green Party	2,541	5.3%
6	Celia Foote	Alliance for Green Socialism	451	0.9%

2010 general election

Leeds North EastE14000779Electorate 67,899Valid votes 47,535Invalid votes 129Majority 4,545

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,765.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 25,052. Winner: 20,287.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Fabian Hamilton	Labour	20,287	42.7%	Elected
2	Matthew Lobley	Conservative	15,742	33.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Aqila Choudhry	Liberal Democrat	9,310	19.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Warren Hendon	UK Independence Party	842	1.8%
5	Tom Redmond	British National Party	758	1.6%
6	Celia Foote	Alliance for Green Socialism	596	1.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.