Constituency

South Leicestershire

ONS code: E14001488
Lookup slug: south-leicestershire

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in South Leicestershire, East Midlands

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 3.5% (1,796 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 65.4% / 78,511
Second place: Reform UK 30.0%

CONConservative

33.5%-2.0 pts

RFMReform UK

30.0%+10.1 pts

LABLabour

16.5%-8.4 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

13.8%-1.0 pts

GRNGreen Party

6.2%+1.4 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

South LeicestershireE14001488Electorate 78,511Valid votes 51,359Invalid votes 183Majority 5,506

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,729.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,993. Winner: 18,264.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alberto Costa	Conservative	18,264	35.6%	Elected
2	Robert Parkinson	Labour	12,758	24.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Bill Piper	Reform UK	10,235	19.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Paul Hartshorn	Liberal Democrat	7,621	14.8%
5	Mike Jelfs	Green Party	2,481	4.8%

2019 general election

South LeicestershireE14000940Electorate 80,520Valid votes 57,469Invalid votes 298Majority 24,004

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alberto Costa	Conservative	36,791	64.0%	Elected
2	Tristan Koriya	Labour	12,787	22.3%
3	Phil Knowles	Liberal Democrat	5,452	9.5%
4	Nick Cox	Green Party	2,439	4.2%

2017 general election

South LeicestershireE14000940Electorate 78,985Valid votes 56,689Invalid votes 112Majority 18,631

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alberto Costa	Conservative	34,795	61.4%	Elected
2	Shabbir Aslam	Labour	16,164	28.5%
3	Gregory Webb	Liberal Democrat	2,403	4.2%
4	Roger Helmer	UK Independence Party	2,235	3.9%
5	Mary Morgan	Green Party	1,092	1.9%

2015 general election

South LeicestershireE14000940Electorate 76,851Valid votes 53,926Invalid votes 300Majority 16,824

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alberto Costa	Conservative	28,700	53.2%	Elected
2	Amanda Hack	Labour	11,876	22.0%
3	Barry Mahoney	UK Independence Party	9,363	17.4%
4	Geoffrey Welsh	Liberal Democrat	3,987	7.4%

2010 general election

South LeicestershireE14000940Electorate 76,633Valid votes 54,577Invalid votes 79Majority 15,524

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Andrew Robathan	Conservative	27,000	49.5%	Elected
2	Aladdin Ayesh	Liberal Democrat	11,476	21.0%
3	Sally Gimson	Labour	11,392	20.9%
4	Paul Preston	British National Party	2,721	5.0%
5	John Williams	UK Independence Party	1,988	3.6%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.