Constituency

Leicester South

ONS code: E14001327
Lookup slug: leicester-south

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Minor parties and independents hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

MIN HOLD

Minor parties and independents forecast to win in Leicester South, East Midlands

Winner: Minor parties and independents
Margin: 11.7% (4,895 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 59.0% / 70,867
Second place: Labour 25.0%

MINMinor parties and independents

36.7%+1.5 pts

LABLabour

25.0%-7.9 pts

GRNGreen Party

11.9%+2.8 pts

CONConservative

10.8%-0.7 pts

RFMReform UK

10.6%+4.7 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

3.5%+0.1 pts

OthOther

1.4%-0.5 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Leicester SouthE14001327Electorate 70,867Valid votes 41,837Invalid votes 158Majority 979

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,841.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 18,580. Winner: 14,739.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Shockat Adam	Independent	14,739	35.2%	Elected
2	Jonathan Ashworth	Labour	13,760	32.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Gerri Hickton	Conservative	4,820	11.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Sharmen Rahman	Green Party	3,826	9.1%
5	Craig Harwood	Reform UK	2,470	5.9%
6	Carol Weaver	Liberal Democrat	1,425	3.4%
7	Osman Admani	Independent	329	0.8%
8	Ann Green	Communist Party of Britain	279	0.7%
9	Ezechiel Adlore	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	189	0.5%

2019 general election

Leicester SouthE14000783Electorate 77,708Valid votes 50,147Invalid votes 192Majority 22,675

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Jonathan Ashworth	Labour + Co-operative Party	33,606	67.0%	Elected
2	Natalie Neale	Conservative	10,931	21.8%
3	Chris Coghlan	Liberal Democrat	2,754	5.5%
4	Mags Lewis	Green Party	1,669	3.3%
5	James Potter	The Brexit Party	1,187	2.4%

2017 general election

Leicester SouthE14000783Electorate 75,534Valid votes 50,517Invalid votes 182Majority 26,261

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Jonathan Ashworth	Labour + Co-operative Party	37,157	73.6%	Elected
2	Meera Sonecha	Conservative	10,896	21.6%
3	Harrish Bisnauthsing	Liberal Democrat	1,287	2.5%
4	Mags Lewis	Green Party	1,177	2.3%

2015 general election

Leicester SouthE14000783Electorate 73,518Valid votes 45,942Invalid votes 398Majority 17,845

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Jon Ashworth	Labour + Co-operative Party	27,473	59.8%	Elected
2	Leon Hadji-Nikolaou	Conservative	9,628	21.0%
3	Peter Stone	UK Independence Party	3,832	8.3%
4	Gabby Garcia	Green Party	2,533	5.5%
5	Anita Prabhakar	Liberal Democrat	2,127	4.6%
6	Andrew Walton	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	349	0.8%

2010 general election

Leicester SouthE14000783Electorate 77,175Valid votes 47,124Invalid votes 109Majority 8,808

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,258.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,737. Winner: 21,479.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Peter Soulsby	Labour	21,479	45.6%	Elected
2	Parmjit Gill	Liberal Democrat	12,671	26.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Ross Grant	Conservative	10,066	21.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Adi Waudby	British National Party	1,418	3.0%
5	Dave Dixey	Green Party	770	1.6%
6	Christopher Lucas	UK Independence Party	720	1.5%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.