Constituency

Leicester East

ONS code: E14001326
Lookup slug: leicester-east

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Leicester East, East Midlands

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 15.3% (7,125 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 61.0% / 76,560
Second place: Labour 15.3%

CONConservative

30.3%-0.3 pts

LABLabour

15.3%-6.1 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

13.3%-0.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

12.4%+0.8 pts

RFMReform UK

11.4%+5.9 pts

OthOther

9.2%-2.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

6.7%+2.2 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Leicester EastE14001326Electorate 76,560Valid votes 46,714Invalid votes 255Majority 4,426

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,903.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 16,429. Winner: 14,526.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Shivani Raja	Conservative	14,526	31.1%	Elected
2	Rajesh Agrawal	Labour	10,100	21.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Zuffar Haq	Liberal Democrat	6,329	13.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Claudia Webbe	Independent	5,532	11.8%
5	Keith Vaz	One Leicester	3,681	7.9%
6	Raj Solanki	Reform UK	2,611	5.6%
7	Mags Lewis	Green Party	2,143	4.6%
8	Malihah Adam	Independent	974	2.1%
9	Nagarjun Agath	Independent	703	1.5%
10	Khandu Patel	Independent	115	0.2%

2019 general election

Leicester EastE14000782Electorate 78,433Valid votes 49,421Invalid votes 259Majority 6,019

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Claudia Webbe	Labour	25,090	50.8%	Elected
2	Bhupen Dave	Conservative	19,071	38.6%
3	Nitesh Dave	Liberal Democrat	2,800	5.7%
4	Tara Baldwin	The Brexit Party	1,243	2.5%
5	Melanie Wakley	Green Party	888	1.8%
6	Sanjay Gogia	Independent	329	0.7%

2017 general election

Leicester EastE14000782Electorate 77,788Valid votes 52,424Invalid votes 258Majority 22,428

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Keith Vaz	Labour	35,116	67.0%	Elected
2	Edward He	Conservative	12,688	24.2%
3	Sujata Barot	Independent	1,753	3.3%
4	Nitesh Dave	Liberal Democrat	1,343	2.6%
5	Melanie Wakley	Green Party	1,070	2.0%
6	Ian Fox	Independent	454	0.9%

2015 general election

Leicester EastE14000782Electorate 75,430Valid votes 48,068Invalid votes 533Majority 18,352

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Keith Vaz	Labour	29,386	61.1%	Elected
2	Kishan Devani	Conservative	11,034	23.0%
3	Susanna Steptoe	UK Independence Party	4,290	8.9%
4	Nimit Jethwa	Green Party	1,468	3.1%
5	Dave Raval	Liberal Democrat	1,233	2.6%
6	Michael Barker	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	540	1.1%
7	Tom Darwood	Independent	117	0.2%

2010 general election

Leicester EastE14000782Electorate 72,986Valid votes 47,995Invalid votes 125Majority 14,082

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Keith Vaz	Labour	25,804	53.8%	Elected
2	Jane Hunt	Conservative	11,722	24.4%
3	Ali Asghar	Liberal Democrat	6,817	14.2%
4	Colin Gilmore	British National Party	1,700	3.5%
5	Mo Taylor	Green Party	733	1.5%
6	Felicity Ransome	UK Independence Party	725	1.5%
7	Avtar Sadiq	Unity for Peace and Socialism	494	1.0%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.