Constituency

Chelmsford

ONS code: E14001159
Lookup slug: chelmsford

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Liberal Democrat hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LDM HOLD

Liberal Democrat forecast to win in Chelmsford, East of England

Winner: Liberal Democrat
Margin: 11.0% (5,566 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 65.9% / 76,970
Second place: Conservative 28.0%

LDMLiberal Democrat

39.0%-0.9 pts

CONConservative

28.0%-2.5 pts

RFMReform UK

20.9%+7.6 pts

LABLabour

6.9%-5.2 pts

GRNGreen Party

4.2%+1.1 pts

OthOther

0.6%-0.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.4%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

ChelmsfordE14001159Electorate 76,970Valid votes 50,716Invalid votes 139Majority 4,753

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 2,001.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,215. Winner: 20,214.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Marie Goldman	Liberal Democrat	20,214	39.9%	Elected
2	Vicky Ford	Conservative	15,461	30.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Darren Ingrouille	Reform UK	6,754	13.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Richard Parry	Labour	6,108	12.0%
5	Reza Hossain	Green Party	1,588	3.1%
6	Richard Hyland	Independent Network	230	0.5%
7	Mark Lawrence	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	187	0.4%
8	Mark Kenlen	Workers Party of Britain	105	0.2%
9	Kamla Sangha	Independent	69	0.1%

2019 general election

ChelmsfordE14000628Electorate 80,394Valid votes 57,122Invalid votes 224Majority 17,621

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Vicky Ford	Conservative	31,934	55.9%	Elected
2	Marie Goldman	Liberal Democrat	14,313	25.1%
3	Penny Richards	Labour	10,295	18.0%
4	Mark Lawrence	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	580	1.0%

2017 general election

ChelmsfordE14000628Electorate 81,032Valid votes 56,860Invalid votes 103Majority 13,572

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Vicky Ford	Conservative	30,525	53.7%	Elected
2	Chris Vince	Labour	16,953	29.8%
3	Stephen Robinson	Liberal Democrat	6,916	12.2%
4	Nigel Carter	UK Independence Party	1,645	2.9%
5	Reza Hossain	Green Party	821	1.4%

2015 general election

ChelmsfordE14000628Electorate 78,580Valid votes 53,817Invalid votes 190Majority 18,250

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Simon Burns	Conservative	27,732	51.5%	Elected
2	Chris Vince	Labour	9,482	17.6%
3	Mark Gough	UK Independence Party	7,652	14.2%
4	Stephen Robinson	Liberal Democrat	6,394	11.9%
5	Angela Thomson	Green Party	1,892	3.5%
6	Henry Boyle	Liberal	665	1.2%

2010 general election

ChelmsfordE14000628Electorate 77,525Valid votes 54,593Invalid votes 42Majority 5,110

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 870.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 26,077. Winner: 25,207.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Simon Burns	Conservative	25,207	46.2%	Elected
2	Stephen Robinson	Liberal Democrat	20,097	36.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Peter Dixon	Labour	5,980	11.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Ken Wedon	UK Independence Party	1,527	2.8%
5	Michael Bateman	British National Party	899	1.6%
6	Angela Thomson	Green Party	476	0.9%
7	Claire Tilbrook	English Democrats	254	0.5%
8	Ben Sherman	Reduce Tax On Beer	153	0.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.