Constituency

Bexleyheath and Crayford

ONS code: E14001089
Lookup slug: bexleyheath-and-crayford

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Bexleyheath and Crayford, Greater London

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 5.8% (2,529 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 61.8% / 70,297
Second place: Conservative 28.9%

RFMReform UK

34.7%+12.0 pts

CONConservative

28.9%-2.4 pts

LABLabour

24.6%-11.6 pts

GRNGreen Party

6.3%+1.5 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

5.5%+0.4 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Bexleyheath and CrayfordE14001089Electorate 70,297Valid votes 43,461Invalid votes 118Majority 2,114

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 7,747.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 23,464. Winner: 15,717.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Daniel Francis	Labour	15,717	36.2%	Elected
2	Mark Brooks	Conservative	13,603	31.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Tom Bright	Reform UK	9,861	22.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	David McBride	Liberal Democrat	2,204	5.1%
5	George Edgar	Green Party	2,076	4.8%

2019 general election

Bexleyheath and CrayfordE14000558Electorate 65,466Valid votes 43,246Invalid votes 167Majority 13,103

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	David Evennett	Conservative	25,856	59.8%	Elected
2	Anna Day	Labour	12,753	29.5%
3	David McBride	Liberal Democrat	2,819	6.5%
4	Tony Ball	Green Party	1,298	3.0%
5	Graham Moore	English Democrats	520	1.2%

2017 general election

Bexleyheath and CrayfordE14000558Electorate 65,315Valid votes 45,189Invalid votes 92Majority 9,073

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	David Evennett	Conservative	25,113	55.6%	Elected
2	Stef Borella	Labour	16,040	35.5%
3	Mike Ferro	UK Independence Party	1,944	4.3%
4	Simone Reynolds	Liberal Democrat	1,201	2.7%
5	Ivor Lobo	Green Party	601	1.3%
6	Peter Finch	British National Party	290	0.6%

2015 general election

Bexleyheath and CrayfordE14000558Electorate 64,828Valid votes 43,685Invalid votes 110Majority 9,192

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	David Evennett	Conservative	20,643	47.3%	Elected
2	Stefano Borella	Labour	11,451	26.2%
3	Chris Attard	UK Independence Party	9,182	21.0%
4	Richard Davis	Liberal Democrat	1,308	3.0%
5	Stella Gardiner	Green Party	950	2.2%
6	Maggi Young	English Democrats	151	0.3%

2010 general election

Bexleyheath and CrayfordE14000558Electorate 65,015Valid votes 43,182Invalid votes 117Majority 10,344

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	David Evennett	Conservative	21,794	50.5%	Elected
2	Howard Dawber	Labour	11,450	26.5%
3	Kariela Scott	Liberal Democrat	5,502	12.7%
4	Stephen James	British National Party	2,042	4.7%
5	John Dunford	UK Independence Party	1,557	3.6%
6	John Griffiths	English Democrats	466	1.1%
7	Adrian Ross	Green Party	371	0.9%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.