Constituency

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

ONS code: S14000108
Lookup slug: berwickshire-roxburgh-and-selkirk

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, Scotland

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 9.0% (4,209 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 60.9% / 76,438
Second place: Scottish National Party 28.2%

CONConservative

37.2%-3.2 pts

SNPScottish National Party

28.2%+1.9 pts

RFMReform UK

16.3%+9.2 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

8.3%+0.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.2%+1.9 pts

LABLabour

3.3%-10.3 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.7%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.5%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkS14000108Electorate 76,438Valid votes 46,558Invalid votes 138Majority 6,599

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	John Lamont	Conservative	18,872	40.5%	Elected
2	David Wilson	Scottish National Party	12,273	26.4%
3	Caitlin Stott	Labour	6,311	13.6%
4	Ray Georgeson	Liberal Democrat	3,686	7.9%
5	Carolyn Grant	Reform UK	3,340	7.2%
6	Neil MacKinnon	Scottish Green Party	1,526	3.3%
7	Ellie Merton	Independent	329	0.7%
8	Hamish Goldie-Scot	Scottish Family Party	221	0.5%

2019 general election

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkS14000008Electorate 74,518Valid votes 53,146Invalid votes 170Majority 5,148

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	John Lamont	Conservative	25,747	48.4%	Elected
2	Calum Kerr	Scottish National Party	20,599	38.8%
3	Jenny Marr	Liberal Democrat	4,287	8.1%
4	Ian Davidson	Labour	2,513	4.7%

2017 general election

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkS14000008Electorate 73,191Valid votes 52,367Invalid votes 96Majority 11,060

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	John Lamont	Conservative	28,213	53.9%	Elected
2	Calum Kerr	Scottish National Party	17,153	32.8%
3	Ian Davidson	Labour + Co-operative Party	4,519	8.6%
4	Caroline Burgess	Liberal Democrat	2,482	4.7%

2015 general election

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkS14000008Electorate 74,214Valid votes 55,038Invalid votes 56Majority 328

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 9,966.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 30,111. Winner: 20,145.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Calum Kerr	Scottish National Party	20,145	36.6%	Elected
2	John Lamont	Conservative	19,817	36.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Michael Moore	Liberal Democrat	10,294	18.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Kenryck Lloyd-Jones	Labour	2,700	4.9%
5	Peter Neilson	UK Independence Party	1,316	2.4%
6	Pauline Stewart	Scottish Green Party	631	1.1%
7	Jesse Rae	Independent	135	0.2%

2010 general election

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkS14000008Electorate 73,826Valid votes 49,014Invalid votes 70Majority 5,675

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Michael Moore	Liberal Democrat	22,230	45.4%	Elected
2	John Lamont	Conservative	16,555	33.8%
3	Ian Miller	Labour	5,003	10.2%
4	Paul Wheelhouse	Scottish National Party	4,497	9.2%
5	Sherry Fowler	UK Independence Party	595	1.2%
6	Chris Black	The Scottish Jacobite Party	134	0.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.