Constituency

Portsmouth North

ONS code: E14001431
Lookup slug: portsmouth-north

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Conservative gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON GAIN

Conservative forecast to win in Portsmouth North, South East

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 0.0% (6 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 59.0% / 70,446
Second place: Reform UK 30.6%

CONConservative

30.6%-2.4 pts

RFMReform UK

30.6%+10.1 pts

LABLabour

26.1%-8.8 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

6.9%-0.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.9%+1.4 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Portsmouth NorthE14001431Electorate 70,446Valid votes 41,593Invalid votes 148Majority 780

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 7,721.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,216. Winner: 14,495.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Amanda Martin	Labour	14,495	34.8%	Elected
2	Penny Mordaunt	Conservative	13,715	33.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Melvyn Todd	Reform UK	8,501	20.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Simon Dodd	Liberal Democrat	3,031	7.3%
5	Duncan Robinson	Green Party	1,851	4.5%

2019 general election

Portsmouth NorthE14000883Electorate 71,299Valid votes 45,910Invalid votes 145Majority 15,780

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Penny Mordaunt	Conservative	28,172	61.4%	Elected
2	Amanda Martin	Labour	12,392	27.0%
3	Antonia Harrison	Liberal Democrat	3,419	7.4%
4	Lloyd Day	Green Party	1,304	2.8%
5	George Madgwick	Independent	623	1.4%

2017 general election

Portsmouth NorthE14000883Electorate 71,374Valid votes 47,210Invalid votes 77Majority 9,965

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Penny Mordaunt	Conservative	25,860	54.8%	Elected
2	Rumal Khan	Labour	15,895	33.7%
3	Darren Sanders	Liberal Democrat	2,608	5.5%
4	Mike Fitzgerald	UK Independence Party	1,926	4.1%
5	Ken Hawkins	Green Party	791	1.7%
6	Joe Jenkins	Libertarian Party	130	0.3%

2015 general election

Portsmouth NorthE14000883Electorate 73,105Valid votes 45,390Invalid votes 157Majority 10,537

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Penny Mordaunt	Conservative	21,343	47.0%	Elected
2	John Ferrett	Labour	10,806	23.8%
3	Mike Fitzgerald	UK Independence Party	8,660	19.1%
4	Darren Sanders	Liberal Democrat	2,828	6.2%
5	Gavin Ellis	Green Party	1,450	3.2%
6	Jon Woods	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	231	0.5%
7	Steven George	The Justice & Anti-Corruption Party	72	0.2%

2010 general election

Portsmouth NorthE14000883Electorate 70,329Valid votes 44,118Invalid votes 154Majority 7,289

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,585.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,118. Winner: 19,533.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Penny Mordaunt	Conservative	19,533	44.3%	Elected
2	Sarah McCarthy-Fry	Labour + Co-operative Party	12,244	27.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Darren Sanders	Liberal Democrat	8,874	20.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Mike Fitzgerald	UK Independence Party	1,812	4.1%
5	David Knight	English Democrats	1,040	2.4%
6	Iain Maclennan	Green Party	461	1.0%
7	Mick Tosh	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	154	0.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.