Constituency

Nottingham East

ONS code: E14001410
Lookup slug: nottingham-east

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Nottingham East, East Midlands

Winner: Labour
Margin: 28.8% (10,495 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 52.5% / 69,395
Second place: Reform UK 16.1%

LABLabour

45.0%-8.6 pts

RFMReform UK

16.1%+6.3 pts

GRNGreen Party

14.9%+3.0 pts

CONConservative

10.0%-0.8 pts

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

6.8%0.0 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

5.0%+0.2 pts

OthOther

2.1%-0.2 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Nottingham EastE14001410Electorate 69,395Valid votes 36,401Invalid votes 226Majority 15,162

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Nadia Whittome	Labour	19,494	53.6%	Elected
2	Rosemary Palmer	Green Party	4,332	11.9%
3	Johno Lee	Conservative	3,925	10.8%
4	Debbie Stephens	Reform UK	3,578	9.8%
5	Issan Ghazni	Workers Party of Britain	2,465	6.8%
6	Anita Prabharkar	Liberal Democrat	1,741	4.8%
7	Naveed Rashid	Independent	494	1.4%
8	Ali Khan	Independent	372	1.0%

2019 general election

Nottingham EastE14000865Electorate 66,262Valid votes 40,004Invalid votes 141Majority 17,393

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Nadia Whittome	Labour	25,735	64.3%	Elected
2	Victoria Stapleton	Conservative	8,342	20.9%
3	Robert Swift	Liberal Democrat	1,954	4.9%
4	Chris Leslie	The Independent Group for Change	1,447	3.6%
5	Damian Smith	The Brexit Party	1,343	3.4%
6	Michelle Vacciana	Green Party	1,183	3.0%

2017 general election

Nottingham EastE14000865Electorate 61,760Valid votes 39,327Invalid votes 114Majority 19,590

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Chris Leslie	Labour + Co-operative Party	28,102	71.5%	Elected
2	Simon Murray	Conservative	8,512	21.6%
3	Barry Holliday	Liberal Democrat	1,003	2.6%
4	Robert Hall-Palmer	UK Independence Party	817	2.1%
5	Kat Boettge	Green Party	698	1.8%
6	David Bishop	Church of the Militant Elvis Party	195	0.5%

2015 general election

Nottingham EastE14000865Electorate 60,464Valid votes 35,209Invalid votes 253Majority 11,894

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Christopher Leslie	Labour + Co-operative Party	19,208	54.6%	Elected
2	Garry Hickton	Conservative	7,314	20.8%
3	Fran Loi	UK Independence Party	3,501	9.9%
4	Antonia Zenkevitch	Green Party	3,473	9.9%
5	Tad Jones	Liberal Democrat	1,475	4.2%
6	Seb Soar	Independent	141	0.4%
7	James Stephenson	Independent	97	0.3%

2010 general election

Nottingham EastE14000865Electorate 58,705Valid votes 33,112Invalid votes 133Majority 6,969

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 877.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 15,899. Winner: 15,022.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Christopher Leslie	Labour + Co-operative Party	15,022	45.4%	Elected
2	Sam Boote	Liberal Democrat	8,053	24.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Ewan Lamont	Conservative	7,846	23.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Patrick Wolfe	UK Independence Party	1,138	3.4%
5	Benjamin Hoare	Green Party	928	2.8%
6	Parvaiz Sardar	Christian Party, Proclaiming Christ's Lordship	125	0.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.