Constituency

Coventry North West

ONS code: E14001181
Lookup slug: coventry-north-west

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Coventry North West, West Midlands

Winner: Labour
Margin: 9.1% (3,807 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 56.0% / 75,036
Second place: Reform UK 28.5%

LABLabour

37.5%-9.4 pts

RFMReform UK

28.5%+9.5 pts

CONConservative

18.1%-2.1 pts

GRNGreen Party

10.2%+2.0 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

4.6%0.0 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

1.2%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Coventry North WestE14001181Electorate 75,036Valid votes 42,030Invalid votes 180Majority 11,174

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Taiwo Owatemi	Labour	19,696	46.9%	Elected
2	Tom Mercer	Conservative	8,522	20.3%
3	Holly-Mae Nelson	Reform UK	7,950	18.9%
4	Esther Reeves	Green Party	3,420	8.1%
5	Tom Holder	Liberal Democrat	1,931	4.6%
6	Elizabeth Richards	Independent	511	1.2%

2019 general election

Coventry North WestE14000650Electorate 75,247Valid votes 47,744Invalid votes 144Majority 208

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 2,509.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 23,427. Winner: 20,918.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Taiwo Owatemi	Labour	20,918	43.8%	Elected
2	Clare Golby	Conservative	20,710	43.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Greg Judge	Liberal Democrat	2,717	5.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Joshua Richardson	The Brexit Party	1,956	4.1%
5	Stephen Gray	Green Party	1,443	3.0%

2017 general election

Coventry North WestE14000650Electorate 75,196Valid votes 49,849Invalid votes 88Majority 8,580

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Geoffrey Robinson	Labour	26,894	54.0%	Elected
2	Resham Kotecha	Conservative	18,314	36.7%
3	Michael Gee	UK Independence Party	1,525	3.1%
4	Andrew Hilton	Liberal Democrat	1,286	2.6%
5	Ciaran Norris	Independent	1,164	2.3%
6	Stephen Gray	Green Party	666	1.3%

2015 general election

Coventry North WestE14000650Electorate 73,626Valid votes 45,246Invalid votes 172Majority 4,509

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 2,592.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,149. Winner: 18,557.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Geoffrey Robinson	Labour	18,557	41.0%	Elected
2	Parvez Akhtar	Conservative	14,048	31.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Harjinder Sehmi	UK Independence Party	7,101	15.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Laura Vesty	Green Party	1,961	4.3%
5	Andrew Furse	Liberal Democrat	1,810	4.0%
6	Dave Nellist	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	1,769	3.9%

2010 general election

Coventry North WestE14000650Electorate 72,871Valid votes 46,560Invalid votes 123Majority 6,288

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 2,056.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,992. Winner: 19,936.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Geoffrey Robinson	Labour	19,936	42.8%	Elected
2	Gary Ridley	Conservative	13,648	29.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Vincent McKee	Liberal Democrat	8,344	17.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Edward Sheppard	British National Party	1,666	3.6%
5	Mark Nattrass	UK Independence Party	1,295	2.8%
6	John Clarke	Independent	640	1.4%
7	Justin Wood	Green Party	497	1.1%
8	Nikki Downes	Socialist Alternative	370	0.8%
9	William Sidhu	Christian Movement for Great Britain	164	0.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.