Constituency

Central Suffolk and North Ipswich

ONS code: E14001156
Lookup slug: central-suffolk-and-north-ipswich

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Central Suffolk and North Ipswich, East of England

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 1.1% (515 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 63.6% / 73,046
Second place: Conservative 27.3%

RFMReform UK

28.4%+9.4 pts

CONConservative

27.3%-5.4 pts

LABLabour

22.6%-0.8 pts

GRNGreen Party

12.0%-0.2 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

8.8%-2.9 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.8%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.4%-0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Central Suffolk and North IpswichE14001156Electorate 73,046Valid votes 46,423Invalid votes 215Majority 4,290

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,516.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 19,660. Winner: 15,144.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Patrick Spencer	Conservative	15,144	32.6%	Elected
2	Kevin Craig	Labour	10,854	23.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Tony Gould	Reform UK	8,806	19.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Daniel Pratt	Green Party	5,652	12.2%
5	Brett Mickelburgh	Liberal Democrat	5,407	11.6%
6	Charlie Caiger	Independent	366	0.8%
7	Mike Hallatt	Independent	194	0.4%

2019 general election

Central Suffolk and North IpswichE14000624Electorate 80,037Valid votes 56,250Invalid votes 274Majority 23,391

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Dan Poulter	Conservative	35,253	62.7%	Elected
2	Emma Bonner-Morgan	Labour	11,862	21.1%
3	James Sandbach	Liberal Democrat	6,485	11.5%
4	Daniel Pratt	Green Party	2,650	4.7%

2017 general election

Central Suffolk and North IpswichE14000624Electorate 78,116Valid votes 56,524Invalid votes 113Majority 17,185

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Dan Poulter	Conservative	33,992	60.1%	Elected
2	Elizabeth Hughes	Labour	16,807	29.7%
3	Aidan Van de Weyer	Liberal Democrat	2,431	4.3%
4	Regan Scott	Green Party	1,659	2.9%
5	Stephen Searle	UK Independence Party	1,635	2.9%

2015 general election

Central Suffolk and North IpswichE14000624Electorate 76,666Valid votes 54,089Invalid votes 145Majority 20,144

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Daniel Poulter	Conservative	30,317	56.1%	Elected
2	Jack Abbott	Labour	10,173	18.8%
3	Mark Cole	UK Independence Party	7,459	13.8%
4	Jon Neal	Liberal Democrat	3,314	6.1%
5	Rhodri Griffiths	Green Party	2,664	4.9%
6	Tony Holyoak	English Democrats	162	0.3%

2010 general election

Central Suffolk and North IpswichE14000624Electorate 75,786Valid votes 53,420Invalid votes 94Majority 13,786

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Daniel Poulter	Conservative	27,125	50.8%	Elected
2	Andrew Aalders-Dunthorne	Liberal Democrat	13,339	25.0%
3	Bhavna Joshi	Labour	8,636	16.2%
4	Roy Philpot	UK Independence Party	2,361	4.4%
5	Andrew Stringer	Green Party	1,452	2.7%
6	Mark Trevitt	Independent	389	0.7%
7	Richard Vass	The New Party	118	0.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.