Constituency

Weald of Kent

ONS code: E14001570
Lookup slug: weald-of-kent

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Weald of Kent, South East

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 8.3% (4,182 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 66.7% / 75,987
Second place: Reform UK 29.5%

CONConservative

37.7%-2.1 pts

RFMReform UK

29.5%+9.3 pts

LABLabour

14.7%-8.6 pts

GRNGreen Party

10.8%+1.8 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

7.4%-0.5 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Weald of KentE14001570Electorate 75,987Valid votes 50,712Invalid votes 257Majority 8,422

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,786.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,988. Winner: 20,202.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Katie Lam	Conservative	20,202	39.8%	Elected
2	Lenny Rolles	Labour	11,780	23.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Daniel Kersten	Reform UK	10,208	20.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Kate Walder	Green Party	4,547	9.0%
5	John Howson	Liberal Democrat	3,975	7.8%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.