Constituency

Walthamstow

ONS code: E14001563
Lookup slug: walthamstow

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Walthamstow, Greater London

Winner: Labour
Margin: 25.9% (11,824 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 61.3% / 74,474
Second place: Green Party 23.8%

LABLabour

49.7%-9.9 pts

GRNGreen Party

23.8%+3.6 pts

RFMReform UK

9.2%+5.2 pts

CONConservative

5.4%+0.2 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

4.8%+0.9 pts

OthOther

4.1%0.0 pts

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

3.3%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

WalthamstowE14001563Electorate 74,474Valid votes 45,668Invalid votes 255Majority 17,996

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Stella Creasy	Labour + Co-operative Party	27,172	59.5%	Elected
2	Rosalind Rowlands	Green Party	9,176	20.1%
3	Sanjana Karnani	Conservative	2,353	5.2%
4	Martin Lonergan	Reform UK	1,836	4.0%
5	Rebecca Taylor	Liberal Democrat	1,736	3.8%
6	Imran Arshad	Workers Party of Britain	1,535	3.4%
7	Mohammed Ashfaq	Independent	914	2.0%
8	Nancy Taaffe	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	561	1.2%
9	Dan Edelstyn	Independent	288	0.6%
10	Ruth Rawlins	Independent	97	0.2%

2019 general election

WalthamstowE14001013Electorate 70,267Valid votes 48,335Invalid votes 206Majority 30,862

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Stella Creasy	Labour + Co-operative Party	36,784	76.1%	Elected
2	Shade Adoh	Conservative	5,922	12.3%
3	Meera Chadha	Liberal Democrat	2,874	5.9%
4	Andrew Johns	Green Party	1,733	3.6%
5	Paul Campbell	The Brexit Party	768	1.6%
6	Deborah Longe	Christian Peoples Alliance	254	0.5%

2017 general election

WalthamstowE14001013Electorate 67,957Valid votes 48,143Invalid votes 159Majority 32,017

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Stella Creasy	Labour + Co-operative Party	38,793	80.6%	Elected
2	Molly Samuel- Leport	Conservative	6,776	14.1%
3	Ukonu Obasi	Liberal Democrat	1,384	2.9%
4	Andrew Johns	Green Party	1,190	2.5%

2015 general election

WalthamstowE14001013Electorate 67,015Valid votes 41,796Invalid votes 181Majority 23,195

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Stella Creasy	Labour + Co-operative Party	28,779	68.9%	Elected
2	Molly Samuel-Leport	Conservative	5,584	13.4%
3	Michael Gold	Green Party	2,661	6.4%
4	Paul Hillman	UK Independence Party	2,507	6.0%
5	Steven Cheung	Liberal Democrat	1,661	4.0%
6	Nancy Taaffe	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	394	0.9%
7	Ellie Merton	Independent	129	0.3%
8	Jonty Leff	Workers Revolutionary Party	81	0.2%

2010 general election

WalthamstowE14001013Electorate 64,625Valid votes 40,994Invalid votes 303Majority 9,478

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Stella Creasy	Labour + Co-operative Party	21,252	51.8%	Elected
2	Farid Ahmed	Liberal Democrat	11,774	28.7%
3	Andy Hemsted	Conservative	5,734	14.0%
4	Judith Chisholm-Benli	UK Independence Party	823	2.0%
5	Daniel Perrett	Green Party	767	1.9%
6	Nancy Taaffe	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	279	0.7%
7	Ashar Mall	Christian Party, Proclaiming Christ's Lordship	248	0.6%
8	Paul Warburton	Independent	117	0.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.