Constituency

Tynemouth

ONS code: E14001557
Lookup slug: tynemouth

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Tynemouth, North East

Winner: Labour
Margin: 18.0% (8,728 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 66.2% / 73,194
Second place: Reform UK 24.0%

LABLabour

42.1%-8.6 pts

RFMReform UK

24.0%+8.7 pts

CONConservative

16.7%-2.0 pts

GRNGreen Party

9.4%+2.0 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

5.7%+0.1 pts

OthOther

1.2%-0.2 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

1.1%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

TynemouthE14001557Electorate 73,194Valid votes 48,418Invalid votes 136Majority 15,455

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alan Campbell	Labour	24,491	50.6%	Elected
2	Lewis Bartoli	Conservative	9,036	18.7%
3	Rosie Elliott	Reform UK	7,392	15.3%
4	Chloe-Louise Reilly	Green Party	3,592	7.4%
5	John Appleby	Liberal Democrat	2,709	5.6%
6	Mustaque Rahman	Independent	531	1.1%
7	Kelly Oliver Dougall	Party of Women	286	0.6%
8	Christopher Greener	Independent	273	0.6%
9	Adam Thewlis	Heritage Party	108	0.2%

2019 general election

TynemouthE14001006Electorate 77,261Valid votes 56,034Invalid votes 179Majority 4,857

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alan Campbell	Labour	26,928	48.1%	Elected
2	Lewis Bartoli	Conservative	22,071	39.4%
3	John Appleby	Liberal Democrat	3,791	6.8%
4	Ed Punchard	The Brexit Party	1,963	3.5%
5	Julia Erskine	Green Party	1,281	2.3%

2017 general election

TynemouthE14001006Electorate 77,434Valid votes 56,858Invalid votes 106Majority 11,666

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alan Campbell	Labour	32,395	57.0%	Elected
2	Nick Varley	Conservative	20,729	36.5%
3	John Appleby	Liberal Democrat	1,724	3.0%
4	Stuart Houghton	UK Independence Party	1,257	2.2%
5	Julia Erskine	Green Party	629	1.1%
6	Anthony Jull	Independent	124	0.2%

2015 general election

TynemouthE14001006Electorate 77,524Valid votes 53,495Invalid votes 126Majority 8,240

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alan Campbell	Labour	25,791	48.2%	Elected
2	Glenn Hall	Conservative	17,551	32.8%
3	Gary Legg	UK Independence Party	6,541	12.2%
4	Julia Erskine	Green Party	2,017	3.8%
5	John Paton Day	Liberal Democrat	1,595	3.0%

2010 general election

TynemouthE14001006Electorate 75,680Valid votes 52,668Invalid votes 88Majority 5,739

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 2,106.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 25,966. Winner: 23,860.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alan Campbell	Labour	23,860	45.3%	Elected
2	Wendy Morton	Conservative	18,121	34.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	John Appleby	Liberal Democrat	7,845	14.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Dorothy Brooke	British National Party	1,404	2.7%
5	Natasha Payne	UK Independence Party	900	1.7%
6	Julia Erskine	Green Party	538	1.0%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.