Constituency

Rotherham

ONS code: E14001452
Lookup slug: rotherham

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Rotherham, Yorkshire and the Humber

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 3.1% (1,145 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 48.6% / 75,929
Second place: Labour 33.2%

RFMReform UK

36.3%+6.0 pts

LABLabour

33.2%-12.0 pts

CONConservative

11.0%+11.0 pts

GRNGreen Party

7.7%+0.5 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

5.6%-2.1 pts

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

4.0%-0.7 pts

OthOther

2.4%-2.8 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

RotherhamE14001452Electorate 75,929Valid votes 36,932Invalid votes 364Majority 5,490

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Sarah Champion	Labour	16,671	45.1%	Elected
2	John Cronly	Reform UK	11,181	30.3%
3	Adam Carter	Liberal Democrat	2,824	7.6%
4	Tony Mabbot	Green Party	2,632	7.1%
5	Taukir Iqbal	Workers Party of Britain	1,714	4.6%
6	David Atkinson	The Yorkshire Party	1,363	3.7%
7	Ishtiaq Ahmad	Independent	547	1.5%

2019 general election

RotherhamE14000904Electorate 61,688Valid votes 35,651Invalid votes 103Majority 3,121

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,004.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 17,740. Winner: 14,736.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Sarah Champion	Labour	14,736	41.3%	Elected
2	Gerri Hickton	Conservative	11,615	32.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Paul Hague	The Brexit Party	6,125	17.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Adam Carter	Liberal Democrat	2,090	5.9%
5	Dennis Bannan	The Yorkshire Party	1,085	3.0%

2017 general election

RotherhamE14000904Electorate 63,237Valid votes 37,923Invalid votes 83Majority 11,387

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Sarah Champion	Labour	21,404	56.4%	Elected
2	James Bellis	Conservative	10,017	26.4%
3	Allen Cowles	UK Independence Party	3,316	8.7%
4	Adam Carter	Liberal Democrat	1,754	4.6%
5	Mick Bower	The Yorkshire Party	1,432	3.8%

2015 general election

RotherhamE14000904Electorate 63,698Valid votes 37,823Invalid votes 153Majority 8,446

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Sarah Champion	Labour	19,860	52.5%	Elected
2	Jane Collins	UK Independence Party	11,414	30.2%
3	Sebastian Lowe	Conservative	4,656	12.3%
4	Janice Middleton	Liberal Democrat	1,093	2.9%
5	Pat McLaughlin	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	409	1.1%
6	Adam Walker	British National Party	225	0.6%
7	Dean Walker	English Democrats	166	0.4%

2010 general election

RotherhamE14000904Electorate 63,563Valid votes 37,506Invalid votes 95Majority 10,462

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Denis Macshane	Labour	16,741	44.6%	Elected
2	Jackie Whiteley	Conservative	6,279	16.7%
3	Rebecca Taylor	Liberal Democrat	5,994	16.0%
4	Marlene Guest	British National Party	3,906	10.4%
5	Peter Thirlwall	Independent	2,366	6.3%
6	Cavan Vines	UK Independence Party	2,220	5.9%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.