Constituency

Richmond and Northallerton

ONS code: E14001444
Lookup slug: richmond-and-northallerton

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Richmond and Northallerton, Yorkshire and the Humber

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 22.9% (11,096 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 65.7% / 73,886
Second place: Reform UK 23.2%

CONConservative

46.1%-1.6 pts

RFMReform UK

23.2%+8.4 pts

LABLabour

14.8%-7.7 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

8.6%-0.3 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.6%+1.4 pts

OthOther

1.4%-0.2 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.6%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Richmond and NorthallertonE14001444Electorate 73,886Valid votes 48,526Invalid votes 99Majority 12,185

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Rishi Sunak	Conservative	23,059	47.5%	Elected
2	Tom Wilson	Labour	10,874	22.4%
3	Lee Taylor	Reform UK	7,142	14.7%
4	Daniel Callaghan	Liberal Democrat	4,322	8.9%
5	Kevin Foster	Green Party	2,058	4.2%
6	Count Binface	Count Binface Party	308	0.6%
7	Brian Richmond	Independent	222	0.5%
8	Niko Omilana	Independent	160	0.3%
9	Rio Goldhammer	The Yorkshire Party	132	0.3%
10	Sir Archibald Stanton	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	99	0.2%
11	Louise Dickens	Workers Party of Britain	90	0.2%
12	Angie Campion	Independent	33	0.1%
13	Jason Barnett	Independent	27	0.1%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.