Constituency

Rhondda and Ogmore

ONS code: W07000107
Lookup slug: rhondda-and-ogmore

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Rhondda and Ogmore, Wales

Winner: Labour
Margin: 3.3% (1,182 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 48.1% / 74,493
Second place: Reform UK 34.8%

LABLabour

38.1%-9.7 pts

RFMReform UK

34.8%+8.8 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

12.5%-2.0 pts

CONConservative

5.7%0.0 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.5%+2.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

3.2%+0.6 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Rhondda and OgmoreW07000107Electorate 74,493Valid votes 35,806Invalid votes 136Majority 7,790

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Chris Bryant	Labour	17,118	47.8%	Elected
2	Darren James	Reform UK	9,328	26.1%
3	Owen Cutler	Plaid Cymru	5,198	14.5%
4	Adam Robinson	Conservative	2,050	5.7%
5	Christine Glossop	Green Party	1,177	3.3%
6	Gerald Francis	Liberal Democrat	935	2.6%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.