Constituency

Reigate

ONS code: E14001442
Lookup slug: reigate

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Reigate, South East

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 12.5% (6,647 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 68.9% / 77,102
Second place: Reform UK 21.5%

CONConservative

34.0%-1.4 pts

RFMReform UK

21.5%+7.8 pts

LABLabour

21.3%-8.1 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

12.1%-0.7 pts

GRNGreen Party

11.2%+2.4 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

ReigateE14001442Electorate 77,102Valid votes 53,161Invalid votes 198Majority 3,187

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,053.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,875. Winner: 18,822.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Rebecca Paul	Conservative	18,822	35.4%	Elected
2	Stuart Brady	Labour	15,635	29.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Joseph Fox	Reform UK	7,240	13.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Mark Johnston	Liberal Democrat	6,773	12.7%
5	Jonathan Essex	Green Party	4,691	8.8%

2019 general election

ReigateE14000893Electorate 74,242Valid votes 53,156Invalid votes 231Majority 18,310

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Crispin Blunt	Conservative	28,665	53.9%	Elected
2	Susan Gregory	Labour	10,355	19.5%
3	John Vincent	Liberal Democrat	10,320	19.4%
4	Jonathan Essex	Green Party	3,169	6.0%
5	Julia Searle	UK Independence Party	647	1.2%

2017 general election

ReigateE14000893Electorate 74,628Valid votes 53,823Invalid votes 170Majority 17,614

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Crispin Blunt	Conservative	30,896	57.4%	Elected
2	Toby Brampton	Labour	13,282	24.7%
3	Anna Tarrant	Liberal Democrat	5,889	10.9%
4	Jonathan Essex	Green Party	2,214	4.1%
5	Joseph Fox	UK Independence Party	1,542	2.9%

2015 general election

ReigateE14000893Electorate 73,429Valid votes 51,349Invalid votes 165Majority 22,334

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Crispin Blunt	Conservative	29,151	56.8%	Elected
2	Joseph Fox	UK Independence Party	6,817	13.3%
3	Ali Aklakul	Labour	6,578	12.8%
4	Anna Tarrant	Liberal Democrat	5,369	10.5%
5	Jonathan Essex	Green Party	3,434	6.7%

2010 general election

ReigateE14000893Electorate 71,604Valid votes 49,978Invalid votes 108Majority 13,591

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Crispin Blunt	Conservative	26,688	53.4%	Elected
2	Jane Kulka	Liberal Democrat	13,097	26.2%
3	Robert Hull	Labour	5,672	11.3%
4	Joseph Fox	UK Independence Party	2,089	4.2%
5	Keith Brown	British National Party	1,345	2.7%
6	Jonathan Essex	Green Party	1,087	2.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.