Constituency

Old Bexley and Sidcup

ONS code: E14001414
Lookup slug: old-bexley-and-sidcup

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Old Bexley and Sidcup, Greater London

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 1.6% (773 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 65.1% / 73,198
Second place: Reform UK 33.8%

CONConservative

35.4%-2.2 pts

RFMReform UK

33.8%+12.0 pts

LABLabour

18.3%-11.9 pts

GRNGreen Party

7.1%+1.6 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

4.6%+0.5 pts

OthOther

0.5%+0.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.4%-0.2 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Old Bexley and SidcupE14001414Electorate 73,198Valid votes 47,633Invalid votes 126Majority 3,548

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 6,836.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,746. Winner: 17,910.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Louie French	Conservative	17,910	37.6%	Elected
2	Edward Jones	Labour	14,362	30.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Maxine Fothergill	Reform UK	10,384	21.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Brad Davies	Green Party	2,601	5.5%
5	Adrian Hyyrylainen-Trett	Liberal Democrat	1,927	4.0%
6	Laurent Williams	Rejoin EU	251	0.5%
7	Andrew Still	Independent	198	0.4%

2019 general election

Old Bexley and SidcupE14000869Electorate 66,104Valid votes 46,145Invalid votes 239Majority 18,952

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	James Brokenshire	Conservative	29,786	64.5%	Elected
2	David Tingle	Labour	10,834	23.5%
3	Simone Reynolds	Liberal Democrat	3,822	8.3%
4	Matt Browne	Green Party	1,477	3.2%
5	Carol Valinejad	Christian Peoples Alliance	226	0.5%

2017 general election

Old Bexley and SidcupE14000869Electorate 66,005Valid votes 48,042Invalid votes 99Majority 15,466

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	James Brokenshire	Conservative	29,545	61.5%	Elected
2	Danny Hackett	Labour	14,079	29.3%
3	Freddy Vachha	UK Independence Party	1,619	3.4%
4	Drew Heffernan	Liberal Democrat	1,572	3.3%
5	Derek Moran	Green Party	820	1.7%
6	Michael Jones	British National Party	324	0.7%
7	Chinwe Nwadikeduruibe	Christian Peoples Alliance	83	0.2%

2015 general election

Old Bexley and SidcupE14000869Electorate 66,035Valid votes 46,748Invalid votes 105Majority 15,803

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	James Brokenshire	Conservative	24,682	52.8%	Elected
2	Ibby Mehmet	Labour	8,879	19.0%
3	Catherine Reilly	UK Independence Party	8,528	18.2%
4	Jennifer Keen	Liberal Democrat	1,644	3.5%
5	Derek Moran	Green Party	1,336	2.9%
6	Bob Gill	National Health Action Party	1,216	2.6%
7	Laurence Williams	Christian Party, Proclaiming Christ's Lordship	245	0.5%
8	Nicola Finch	British National Party	218	0.5%

2010 general election

Old Bexley and SidcupE14000869Electorate 65,699Valid votes 45,492Invalid votes 172Majority 15,857

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	James Brokenshire	Conservative	24,625	54.1%	Elected
2	Rick Everitt	Labour	8,768	19.3%
3	Duncan Borrowman	Liberal Democrat	6,996	15.4%
4	John Brooks	British National Party	2,132	4.7%
5	David Coburn	UK Independence Party	1,532	3.4%
6	Elaine Cheeseman	English Democrats	520	1.1%
7	John Hemming-Clark	Independents to Save Queen Mary's Hospital	393	0.9%
8	Jonathan Rooks	Green Party	371	0.8%
9	Napoleon Dynamite	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	155	0.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.