Constituency

Leeds Central and Headingley

ONS code: E14001319
Lookup slug: leeds-central-and-headingley

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Leeds Central and Headingley, Yorkshire and the Humber

Winner: Labour
Margin: 13.4% (4,223 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 44.8% / 70,554
Second place: Green Party 27.6%

LABLabour

41.0%-9.2 pts

GRNGreen Party

27.6%+4.1 pts

RFMReform UK

13.4%+5.9 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

7.8%-0.4 pts

CONConservative

6.8%-0.2 pts

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

2.2%0.0 pts

OthOther

1.0%-0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Leeds Central and HeadingleyE14001319Electorate 70,554Valid votes 31,595Invalid votes 135Majority 8,422

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Alex Sobel	Labour + Co-operative Party	15,853	50.2%	Elected
2	Chris Foren	Green Party	7,431	23.5%
3	Chris Howley	Liberal Democrat	2,611	8.3%
4	Reggie Wray	Reform UK	2,399	7.6%
5	Jennifer Jackson	Conservative	2,237	7.1%
6	Owais Rajput	Workers Party of Britain	691	2.2%
7	Rob Walker	Social Democratic Party	187	0.6%
8	Louie Fulton	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	186	0.6%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.