Constituency

Ipswich

ONS code: E14001302
Lookup slug: ipswich

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Ipswich, East of England

Winner: Labour
Margin: 9.8% (4,325 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 58.5% / 75,396
Second place: Reform UK 24.8%

LABLabour

34.6%-8.7 pts

RFMReform UK

24.8%+8.9 pts

CONConservative

24.1%-2.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

10.3%+2.0 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

5.4%+0.3 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.5%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.3%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

IpswichE14001302Electorate 75,396Valid votes 44,071Invalid votes 167Majority 7,403

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Jack Abbott	Labour + Co-operative Party	19,099	43.3%	Elected
2	Thomas Hunt	Conservative	11,696	26.5%
3	Tony Love	Reform UK	7,027	15.9%
4	Adria Pittock	Green Party	3,652	8.3%
5	James Sandbach	Liberal Democrat	2,241	5.1%
6	Freddie Sofar	Communist Party of Britain	205	0.5%
7	Terence Charles	Heritage Party	151	0.3%

2019 general election

IpswichE14000761Electorate 75,525Valid votes 49,579Invalid votes 116Majority 5,479

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Tom Hunt	Conservative	24,952	50.3%	Elected
2	Sandy Martin	Labour	19,473	39.3%
3	Adrian Hyyrylainen-Trett	Liberal Democrat	2,439	4.9%
4	Nicola Thomas	The Brexit Party	1,432	2.9%
5	Barry Broom	Green Party	1,283	2.6%

2017 general election

IpswichE14000761Electorate 75,668Valid votes 51,137Invalid votes 100Majority 831

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 541.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,765. Winner: 24,224.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Sandy Martin	Labour	24,224	47.4%	Elected
2	Ben Gummer	Conservative	23,393	45.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Tony Gould	UK Independence Party	1,372	2.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Adrian Hyyrylainen-Trett	Liberal Democrat	1,187	2.3%
5	Charlotte Armstrong	Green Party	840	1.6%
6	David Tabane	Independent	121	0.2%

2015 general election

IpswichE14000761Electorate 74,499Valid votes 48,694Invalid votes 139Majority 3,733

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,970.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 23,764. Winner: 21,794.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Benedict Gummer	Conservative	21,794	44.8%	Elected
2	David Ellesmere	Labour	18,061	37.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Maria Vigneau	UK Independence Party	5,703	11.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Barry Broom	Green Party	1,736	3.6%
5	Chika Akinwale	Liberal Democrat	1,400	2.9%

2010 general election

IpswichE14000761Electorate 75,770Valid votes 46,941Invalid votes 89Majority 2,079

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 6,477.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,848. Winner: 18,371.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Benedict Gummer	Conservative	18,371	39.1%	Elected
2	Chris Mole	Labour	16,292	34.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Mark Dyson	Liberal Democrat	8,556	18.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Christopher Streatfield	UK Independence Party	1,365	2.9%
5	Dennis Boater	British National Party	1,270	2.7%
6	Tim Glover	Green Party	775	1.7%
7	Kim Christofi	Christian Party, Proclaiming Christ's Lordship	149	0.3%
8	Peter Turtill	Independent	93	0.2%
9	Sally Wainman	Independent	70	0.1%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.