Constituency

Harborough, Oadby and Wigston

ONS code: E14001266
Lookup slug: harborough-oadby-and-wigston

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Harborough, Oadby and Wigston, East Midlands

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 11.7% (5,876 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 65.4% / 77,075
Second place: Labour 23.8%

CONConservative

35.4%-1.5 pts

LABLabour

23.8%-8.4 pts

RFMReform UK

20.4%+7.8 pts

GRNGreen Party

10.7%+2.2 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

9.2%-0.2 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.4%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Harborough, Oadby and WigstonE14001266Electorate 77,075Valid votes 50,386Invalid votes 191Majority 2,378

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,954.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,568. Winner: 18,614.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Neil O'Brien	Conservative	18,614	36.9%	Elected
2	Hajira Piranie	Labour + Co-operative Party	16,236	32.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Danuta Jeeves	Reform UK	6,332	12.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Phil Knowles	Liberal Democrat	4,732	9.4%
5	Darren Woodiwiss	Green Party	4,269	8.5%
6	Robin Lambert	Social Democratic Party	203	0.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.