Constituency

Erewash

ONS code: E14001228
Lookup slug: erewash

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Erewash, East Midlands

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 1.1% (477 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 60.1% / 71,501
Second place: Labour 30.8%

RFMReform UK

31.9%+10.6 pts

LABLabour

30.8%-9.3 pts

CONConservative

23.5%-3.0 pts

GRNGreen Party

7.3%+1.5 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

5.9%+0.2 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.8%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

ErewashE14001228Electorate 71,501Valid votes 43,006Invalid votes 175Majority 5,859

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,303.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 20,527. Winner: 17,224.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Adam Thompson	Labour	17,224	40.1%	Elected
2	Maggie Throup	Conservative	11,365	26.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Liam Booth-Isherwood	Reform UK	9,162	21.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Brent Poland	Green Party	2,478	5.8%
5	James Archer	Liberal Democrat	2,426	5.6%
6	John Kirby	Independent	351	0.8%

2019 general election

ErewashE14000695Electorate 72,523Valid votes 48,814Invalid votes 168Majority 10,606

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Maggie Throup	Conservative	27,560	56.5%	Elected
2	Catherine Atkinson	Labour	16,954	34.7%
3	James Archer	Liberal Democrat	2,487	5.1%
4	Brent Poland	Green Party	1,115	2.3%
5	Des Ball	Independent	388	0.8%
6	Richard Shaw	Independent	188	0.4%
7	Roy Dunn	Independent	122	0.2%

2017 general election

ErewashE14000695Electorate 72,995Valid votes 49,781Invalid votes 86Majority 4,534

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Maggie Throup	Conservative	25,939	52.1%	Elected
2	Catherine Atkinson	Labour	21,405	43.0%
3	Martin Garnett	Liberal Democrat	1,243	2.5%
4	Ralph Hierons	Green Party	675	1.4%
5	Roy Dunn	Independent	519	1.0%

2015 general election

ErewashE14000695Electorate 71,943Valid votes 48,322Invalid votes 146Majority 3,584

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,208.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,844. Winner: 20,636.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Maggie Throup	Conservative	20,636	42.7%	Elected
2	Catherine Atkinson	Labour	17,052	35.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Philip Rose	UK Independence Party	7,792	16.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Martin Garnett	Liberal Democrat	1,658	3.4%
5	Ralph Hierons	Green Party	1,184	2.5%

2010 general election

ErewashE14000695Electorate 69,655Valid votes 47,642Invalid votes 41Majority 2,501

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 5,842.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,647. Winner: 18,805.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Jessica Lee	Conservative	18,805	39.5%	Elected
2	Cheryl Pidgeon	Labour	16,304	34.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Martin Garnett	Liberal Democrat	8,343	17.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Mark Bailey	British National Party	2,337	4.9%
5	Jodie Sutton	UK Independence Party	855	1.8%
6	Lee Fletcher	Green Party	534	1.1%
7	Luke Wilkins	Independent	464	1.0%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.