Constituency

Ely and East Cambridgeshire

ONS code: E14001224
Lookup slug: ely-and-east-cambridgeshire

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Liberal Democrat hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LDM HOLD

Liberal Democrat forecast to win in Ely and East Cambridgeshire, East of England

Winner: Liberal Democrat
Margin: 4.0% (2,096 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 66.2% / 79,112
Second place: Conservative 29.6%

LDMLiberal Democrat

33.6%+0.9 pts

CONConservative

29.6%-2.2 pts

RFMReform UK

19.8%+7.5 pts

LABLabour

10.0%-7.5 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.8%+1.3 pts

OthOther

0.6%-0.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.5%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Ely and East CambridgeshireE14001224Electorate 79,112Valid votes 52,369Invalid votes 155Majority 495

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 8,665.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 25,792. Winner: 17,127.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Charlotte Cane	Liberal Democrat	17,127	32.7%	Elected
2	Lucy Frazer	Conservative	16,632	31.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Elizabeth McWilliams	Labour	9,160	17.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Ryan Coogan	Reform UK	6,443	12.3%
5	Andy Cogan	Green Party	2,359	4.5%
6	Hoo-Ray Henry	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	271	0.5%
7	Robert Bayley	Social Democratic Party	172	0.3%
8	Obi Monye	Independent	103	0.2%
9	Rob Rawlins	Independent	102	0.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.