Constituency

East Grinstead and Uckfield

ONS code: E14001212
Lookup slug: east-grinstead-and-uckfield

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in East Grinstead and Uckfield, South East

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 13.8% (6,938 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 66.8% / 75,385
Second place: Liberal Democrat 20.3%

CONConservative

34.1%-4.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

20.3%-1.2 pts

RFMReform UK

15.9%+15.9 pts

LABLabour

13.1%-7.6 pts

GRNGreen Party

13.1%+2.6 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

2.8%-2.2 pts

OthOther

0.8%-3.3 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

East Grinstead and UckfieldE14001212Electorate 75,385Valid votes 50,393Invalid votes 471Majority 8,480

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,960.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,279. Winner: 19,319.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Mims Davies	Conservative	19,319	38.3%	Elected
2	Benedict Dempsey	Liberal Democrat	10,839	21.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Ben Cox	Labour	10,440	20.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Christina Coleman	Green Party	5,277	10.5%
5	Ian Gibson	Independent	2,482	4.9%
6	William Highton	English Democrats	2,036	4.0%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.