Constituency

Derby North

ONS code: E14001193
Lookup slug: derby-north

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Derby North, East Midlands

Winner: Labour
Margin: 8.3% (3,414 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 56.9% / 71,879
Second place: Reform UK 27.9%

LABLabour

36.2%-9.2 pts

RFMReform UK

27.9%+9.6 pts

CONConservative

21.2%-2.5 pts

GRNGreen Party

10.0%+1.9 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

4.6%+0.2 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Derby NorthE14001193Electorate 71,879Valid votes 40,919Invalid votes 187Majority 8,915

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Catherine Atkinson	Labour	18,619	45.5%	Elected
2	Amanda Solloway	Conservative	9,704	23.7%
3	Tim Prosser	Reform UK	7,488	18.3%
4	Helen Hitchcock	Green Party	3,286	8.0%
5	John Sweeney	Liberal Democrat	1,822	4.5%

2019 general election

Derby NorthE14000662Electorate 73,199Valid votes 47,017Invalid votes 111Majority 2,540

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 910.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,169. Winner: 21,259.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Amanda Solloway	Conservative	21,259	45.2%	Elected
2	Tony Tinley	Labour	18,719	39.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Gregory Webb	Liberal Democrat	3,450	7.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Alan Graves	The Brexit Party	1,908	4.1%
5	Helen Hitchcock	Green Party	1,046	2.2%
6	Chris Williamson	Independent	635	1.4%

2017 general election

Derby NorthE14000662Electorate 69,919Valid votes 48,672Invalid votes 109Majority 2,015

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 247.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 23,869. Winner: 23,622.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Chris Williamson	Labour	23,622	48.5%	Elected
2	Amanda Solloway	Conservative	21,607	44.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Lucy Care	Liberal Democrat	2,262	4.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Bill Piper	UK Independence Party	1,181	2.4%

2015 general election

Derby NorthE14000662Electorate 69,794Valid votes 44,745Invalid votes 137Majority 41

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 6,491.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,893. Winner: 16,402.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Amanda Solloway	Conservative	16,402	36.7%	Elected
2	Chris Williamson	Labour	16,361	36.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Tilly Ward	UK Independence Party	6,532	14.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Lucy Care	Liberal Democrat	3,832	8.6%
5	Alice Mason-Power	Green Party	1,618	3.6%

2010 general election

Derby NorthE14000662Electorate 71,474Valid votes 45,080Invalid votes 132Majority 613

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 12,025.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 26,921. Winner: 14,896.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Chris Williamson	Labour	14,896	33.0%	Elected
2	Stephen Mold	Conservative	14,283	31.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Lucy Care	Liberal Democrat	12,638	28.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Pete Cheeseman	British National Party	2,000	4.4%
5	Elizabeth Ransome	UK Independence Party	829	1.8%
6	David Gale	Independent	264	0.6%
7	David Geraghty	Pirate Party UK	170	0.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.