Constituency

Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch

ONS code: S14000072
Lookup slug: cumbernauld-and-kirkintilloch

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Scottish National Party gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

SNP GAIN

Scottish National Party forecast to win in Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch, Scotland

Winner: Scottish National Party
Margin: 9.8% (3,995 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 58.2% / 70,350
Second place: Labour 28.2%

SNPScottish National Party

37.9%+3.0 pts

LABLabour

28.2%-16.9 pts

RFMReform UK

19.5%+11.8 pts

CONConservative

5.5%+0.8 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.3%+1.2 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

3.3%+0.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Cumbernauld and KirkintillochS14000072Electorate 70,350Valid votes 40,976Invalid votes 170Majority 4,144

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Katrina Murray	Labour	18,513	45.2%	Elected
2	Stuart McDonald	Scottish National Party	14,369	35.1%
3	Billy Ross	Reform UK	3,167	7.7%
4	Satbir Gill	Conservative	1,939	4.7%
5	Anne McCrossan	Scottish Green Party	1,694	4.1%
6	Adam Harley	Liberal Democrat	1,294	3.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.