Constituency

Cities of London and Westminster

ONS code: E14001172
Lookup slug: cities-of-london-and-westminster

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Conservative gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON GAIN

Conservative forecast to win in Cities of London and Westminster, Greater London

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 1.4% (547 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 53.4% / 73,369
Second place: Labour 29.5%

CONConservative

30.9%-1.3 pts

LABLabour

29.5%-9.6 pts

RFMReform UK

14.1%+7.1 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

12.4%+1.3 pts

GRNGreen Party

9.9%+2.6 pts

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

1.8%-0.1 pts

OthOther

1.6%-0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Cities of London and WestminsterE14001172Electorate 73,369Valid votes 39,215Invalid votes 202Majority 2,708

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,627.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 16,929. Winner: 15,302.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Rachel Blake	Labour + Co-operative Party	15,302	39.0%	Elected
2	Tim Barnes	Conservative	12,594	32.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Edward Lucas	Liberal Democrat	4,335	11.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Rajiv Sinha	Green Party	2,844	7.3%
5	Tarun Ghulati	Reform UK	2,752	7.0%
6	Hoz Shafiei	Workers Party of Britain	727	1.9%
7	Liz Burford	Rejoin EU	352	0.9%
8	Huge De Burgh	Social Democratic Party	110	0.3%
9	John Generic	Independent	110	0.3%
10	Tim Hallett	Independent	55	0.1%
11	Matthew Carr	Independent	34	0.1%

2019 general election

Cities of London and WestminsterE14000639Electorate 63,700Valid votes 42,723Invalid votes 140Majority 3,953

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 7,671.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,720. Winner: 17,049.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Nickie Aiken	Conservative	17,049	39.9%	Elected
2	Chuka Umunna	Liberal Democrat	13,096	30.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Gordon Nardell	Labour	11,624	27.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Zack Polanski	Green Party	728	1.7%
5	Jill McLachlan	Christian Peoples Alliance	125	0.3%
6	Dirk van Heck	Liberal	101	0.2%

2017 general election

Cities of London and WestminsterE14000639Electorate 61,533Valid votes 38,654Invalid votes 133Majority 3,148

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,122.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 19,127. Winner: 18,005.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Mark Field	Conservative	18,005	46.6%	Elected
2	Ibrahim Dogus	Labour	14,857	38.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Bridget Fox	Liberal Democrat	4,270	11.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Lawrence McNally	Green Party	821	2.1%
5	Anil Bhatti	UK Independence Party	426	1.1%
6	Tim Lord	Independent	173	0.4%
7	Ankit Love	Independent	59	0.2%
8	Benjamin Weenen	Young People's Party	43	0.1%

2015 general election

Cities of London and WestminsterE14000639Electorate 60,992Valid votes 36,185Invalid votes 167Majority 9,671

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Mark Field	Conservative	19,570	54.1%	Elected
2	Nik Slingsby	Labour	9,899	27.4%
3	Belinda Brooks-Gordon	Liberal Democrat	2,521	7.0%
4	Hugh Small	Green Party	1,953	5.4%
5	Robert Stephenson	UK Independence Party	1,894	5.2%
6	Edouard-Henri Desforges	Cannabis Is Safer Than Alcohol	160	0.4%
7	Jill McLachlan	Christian Peoples Alliance	129	0.4%
8	Adam Clifford	Class War	59	0.2%

2010 general election

Cities of London and WestminsterE14000639Electorate 66,849Valid votes 36,931Invalid votes 237Majority 11,076

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Mark Field	Conservative	19,264	52.2%	Elected
2	David Rowntree	Labour	8,188	22.2%
3	Naomi Smith	Liberal Democrat	7,574	20.5%
4	Derek Chase	Green Party	778	2.1%
5	Paul Weston	UK Independence Party	664	1.8%
6	Frank Roseman	English Democrats	191	0.5%
7	Dennis Delderfield	Independent	98	0.3%
8	Jack Nunn	Pirate Party UK	90	0.2%
9	C. Mad	Independent	84	0.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.