Constituency

Blackburn

ONS code: E14001102
Lookup slug: blackburn

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Minor parties and independents hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

MIN HOLD

Minor parties and independents forecast to win in Blackburn, North West

Winner: Minor parties and independents
Margin: 6.2% (2,413 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 53.1% / 73,263
Second place: Reform UK 21.4%

MINMinor parties and independents

27.7%+0.5 pts

RFMReform UK

21.4%+8.9 pts

LABLabour

18.9%-7.8 pts

OthOther

16.6%-2.8 pts

CONConservative

8.2%-0.7 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.1%+1.5 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

2.3%+0.5 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

BlackburnE14001102Electorate 73,263Valid votes 38,887Invalid votes 163Majority 132

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 6,973.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 17,491. Winner: 10,518.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Adnan Hussain	Independent	10,518	27.0%	Elected
2	Kate Hollern	Labour	10,386	26.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Craig Murray	Workers Party of Britain	7,105	18.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Tommy Temperley	Reform UK	4,844	12.5%
5	Jamie McGowan	Conservative	3,474	8.9%
6	Denise Morgan	Green Party	1,416	3.6%
7	Adam Waller-Slack	Liberal Democrat	689	1.8%
8	Tiger Patel	Independent	369	0.9%
9	Natasha Shah	Independent	86	0.2%

2019 general election

BlackburnE14000570Electorate 71,234Valid votes 44,736Invalid votes 109Majority 18,304

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Kate Hollern	Labour	29,040	64.9%	Elected
2	Claire Gill	Conservative	10,736	24.0%
3	Rick Moore	The Brexit Party	2,770	6.2%
4	Beth Waller-Slack	Liberal Democrat	1,130	2.5%
5	Reza Hossain	Green Party	741	1.7%
6	Rizwan Ali Shah	Independent	319	0.7%

2017 general election

BlackburnE14000570Electorate 70,664Valid votes 47,515Invalid votes 187Majority 20,368

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Kate Hollern	Labour	33,148	69.8%	Elected
2	Bob Eastwood	Conservative	12,780	26.9%
3	Duncan Miller	Independent	878	1.8%
4	Irfan Ahmed	Liberal Democrat	709	1.5%

2015 general election

BlackburnE14000570Electorate 73,260Valid votes 43,999Invalid votes 325Majority 12,760

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Kate Hollern	Labour	24,762	56.3%	Elected
2	Bob Eastwood	Conservative	12,002	27.3%
3	Dayle Taylor	UK Independence Party	6,280	14.3%
4	Gordon Lishman	Liberal Democrat	955	2.2%

2010 general election

BlackburnE14000570Electorate 72,331Valid votes 45,499Invalid votes 1,718Majority 9,856

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Jack Straw	Labour	21,751	47.8%	Elected
2	Michael Law-Riding	Conservative	11,895	26.1%
3	Paul English	Liberal Democrat	6,918	15.2%
4	Robin Evans	British National Party	2,158	4.7%
5	Bushra Irfanullah	Bushra Irfan of Blackburn	1,424	3.1%
6	Bobby Anwar	UK Independence Party	942	2.1%
7	Grace Astley	Independent	238	0.5%
8	Janis Sharp	Independent	173	0.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.