Constituency

Birmingham Perry Barr

ONS code: E14001098
Lookup slug: birmingham-perry-barr

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Minor parties and independents hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

MIN HOLD

Minor parties and independents forecast to win in Birmingham Perry Barr, West Midlands

Winner: Minor parties and independents
Margin: 10.1% (3,778 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 49.1% / 76,350
Second place: Labour 26.5%

MINMinor parties and independents

36.6%+1.1 pts

LABLabour

26.5%-7.6 pts

RFMReform UK

11.7%+5.1 pts

CONConservative

10.8%-0.5 pts

GRNGreen Party

8.8%+2.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

3.7%+0.2 pts

OthOther

1.9%-0.6 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Birmingham Perry BarrE14001098Electorate 76,350Valid votes 37,476Invalid votes 211Majority 507

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,720.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 17,023. Winner: 13,303.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Ayoub Khan	Independent	13,303	35.5%	Elected
2	Khalid Mahmood	Labour	12,796	34.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Garry Hickton	Conservative	4,227	11.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Akshay Khuttan	Reform UK	2,446	6.5%
5	Kefentse Dennis	Green Party	2,440	6.5%
6	Sabah Hamed	Liberal Democrat	1,302	3.5%
7	Niko Omilana	Independent	509	1.4%
8	Shangara Singh	Socialist Labour Party	453	1.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.