Constituency

Bexhill and Battle

ONS code: E14001088
Lookup slug: bexhill-and-battle

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Bexhill and Battle, South East

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 6.6% (3,165 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 66.1% / 72,198
Second place: Reform UK 26.2%

CONConservative

32.9%-1.4 pts

RFMReform UK

26.2%+9.3 pts

LABLabour

19.6%-9.0 pts

GRNGreen Party

8.0%+1.7 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

7.1%-0.2 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

4.6%-0.1 pts

OthOther

2.7%-0.4 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Bexhill and BattleE14001088Electorate 72,198Valid votes 47,750Invalid votes 188Majority 2,657

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 5,272.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,458. Winner: 16,186.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Kieran Mullan	Conservative	16,186	33.9%	Elected
2	Christine Bayliss	Labour	13,529	28.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Ian Gribbin	Reform UK	7,929	16.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Becky Jones	Liberal Democrat	3,473	7.3%
5	Jonathan Kent	Green Party	2,972	6.2%
6	Abul Azad	Independent	2,206	4.6%
7	Jeff Newnham	Independent	769	1.6%
8	Julia Long	Party of Women	332	0.7%
9	Nigel Jacklin	Independent Network	210	0.4%
10	Colin Sullivan	UK Independence Party	144	0.3%

2019 general election

Bexhill and BattleE14000557Electorate 81,963Valid votes 59,093Invalid votes 352Majority 26,059

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Huw Merriman	Conservative	37,590	63.6%	Elected
2	Christine Bayliss	Labour	11,531	19.5%
3	Martin Saunders	Liberal Democrat	7,280	12.3%
4	Jonathan Kent	Green Party	2,692	4.6%

2017 general election

Bexhill and BattleE14000557Electorate 81,331Valid votes 59,472Invalid votes 102Majority 22,165

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Huw Merriman	Conservative	36,854	62.0%	Elected
2	Christine Bayliss	Labour	14,689	24.7%
3	Joel Kemp	Liberal Democrat	4,485	7.5%
4	Geoffrey Bastin	UK Independence Party	2,006	3.4%
5	Jonathan Kent	Green Party	1,438	2.4%

2015 general election

Bexhill and BattleE14000557Electorate 78,796Valid votes 55,218Invalid votes 300Majority 20,075

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Huw Merriman	Conservative	30,245	54.8%	Elected
2	Geoffrey Bastin	UK Independence Party	10,170	18.4%
3	Michelle Thew	Labour	7,797	14.1%
4	Rachel Sadler	Liberal Democrat	4,199	7.6%
5	Jonathan Kent	Green Party	2,807	5.1%

2010 general election

Bexhill and BattleE14000557Electorate 81,032Valid votes 54,587Invalid votes 138Majority 12,880

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Gregory Barker	Conservative	28,147	51.6%	Elected
2	Mary Varrall	Liberal Democrat	15,267	28.0%
3	James Royston	Labour	6,524	12.0%
4	Stuart Wheeler	Trust	2,699	4.9%
5	Neil Jackson	British National Party	1,950	3.6%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.