Constituency

Worcester

ONS code: E14001597
Lookup slug: worcester

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Worcester, West Midlands

Winner: Labour
Margin: 9.1% (4,195 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 61.4% / 74,931
Second place: Reform UK 23.0%

LABLabour

32.1%-8.4 pts

RFMReform UK

23.0%+8.4 pts

CONConservative

22.8%-2.2 pts

GRNGreen Party

13.1%+2.7 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

8.2%-0.5 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.6%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.3%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

WorcesterE14001597Electorate 74,931Valid votes 46,036Invalid votes 179Majority 7,116

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Tom Collins	Labour	18,622	40.5%	Elected
2	Marc Bayliss	Conservative	11,506	25.0%
3	Andy Peplow	Reform UK	6,723	14.6%
4	Tor Pingree	Green Party	4,789	10.4%
5	Mel Allcott	Liberal Democrat	3,986	8.7%
6	Mark Davies	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	280	0.6%
7	Duncan Murray	Social Democratic Party	130	0.3%

2019 general election

WorcesterE14001052Electorate 73,485Valid votes 50,898Invalid votes 174Majority 6,758

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Robin Walker	Conservative	25,856	50.8%	Elected
2	Lynn Denham	Labour	19,098	37.5%
3	Stephen Kearney	Liberal Democrat	3,666	7.2%
4	Louis Stephen	Green Party	1,694	3.3%
5	Martin Potter	Independent	584	1.1%

2017 general election

WorcesterE14001052Electorate 73,893Valid votes 51,423Invalid votes 92Majority 2,508

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Robin Walker	Conservative	24,731	48.1%	Elected
2	Joy Squires	Labour	22,223	43.2%
3	Stephen Kearney	Liberal Democrat	1,757	3.4%
4	Paul Hickling	UK Independence Party	1,354	2.6%
5	Louis Stephen	Green Party	1,211	2.4%
6	Alex Rugg	Independent	109	0.2%
7	Mark Shuker	Compass Party	38	0.1%

2015 general election

WorcesterE14001052Electorate 72,461Valid votes 49,723Invalid votes 137Majority 5,646

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 732.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 23,266. Winner: 22,534.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Robin Walker	Conservative	22,534	45.3%	Elected
2	Joy Squires	Labour	16,888	34.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	James Goad	UK Independence Party	6,378	12.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Louis Stephen	Green Party	2,024	4.1%
5	Federica Smith	Liberal Democrat	1,677	3.4%
6	Pete McNally	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	153	0.3%
7	Mark Shuker	Independent	69	0.1%

2010 general election

WorcesterE14001052Electorate 72,835Valid votes 48,974Invalid votes 99Majority 2,982

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 6,543.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 25,901. Winner: 19,358.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Robin Walker	Conservative	19,358	39.5%	Elected
2	Michael Foster	Labour	16,376	33.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Jackie Alderson	Liberal Democrat	9,525	19.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Jack Bennett	UK Independence Party	1,360	2.8%
5	Spencer Lee Kirby	British National Party	1,219	2.5%
6	Louis Stephen	Green Party	735	1.5%
7	Andrew Robinson	Pirate Party UK	173	0.4%
8	Peter Sandland-Nielsen	Independent	129	0.3%
9	Andrew Christian-Brookes	Independent	99	0.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.