Constituency

Windsor

ONS code: E14001588
Lookup slug: windsor

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Windsor, South East

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 15.7% (7,097 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 61.7% / 73,334
Second place: Liberal Democrat 20.3%

CONConservative

36.0%-0.6 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

20.3%-0.9 pts

RFMReform UK

17.2%+6.8 pts

LABLabour

15.2%-7.0 pts

GRNGreen Party

6.8%+1.8 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

3.7%+0.1 pts

OthOther

1.3%-0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

WindsorE14001588Electorate 73,334Valid votes 45,246Invalid votes 173Majority 6,457

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,082.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 19,565. Winner: 16,483.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Jack Rankin	Conservative	16,483	36.4%	Elected
2	Pavitar Mann	Labour	10,026	22.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Julian Tisi	Liberal Democrat	9,539	21.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Harl Grewal	Reform UK	4,660	10.3%
5	Michael Boyle	Green Party	2,288	5.1%
6	David Buckley	Independent	1,629	3.6%
7	Simran Dhillon	Workers Party of Britain	621	1.4%

2019 general election

WindsorE14001042Electorate 75,038Valid votes 53,750Invalid votes 201Majority 20,079

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Adam Afriyie	Conservative	31,501	58.6%	Elected
2	Julian Tisi	Liberal Democrat	11,422	21.3%
3	Peter Shearman	Labour	8,147	15.2%
4	Fintan McKeown	Green Party	1,796	3.3%
5	David Buckley	Independent	508	0.9%
6	Wisdom Da Costa	Independent	376	0.7%

2017 general election

WindsorE14001042Electorate 73,595Valid votes 53,921Invalid votes 164Majority 22,384

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Adam Afriyie	Conservative	34,718	64.4%	Elected
2	Peter Shearman	Labour	12,334	22.9%
3	Julian Tisi	Liberal Democrat	5,434	10.1%
4	Fintan McKeown	Green Party	1,435	2.7%

2015 general election

WindsorE14001042Electorate 71,538Valid votes 50,160Invalid votes 189Majority 25,083

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Adam Afriyie	Conservative	31,797	63.4%	Elected
2	Fiona Dent	Labour	6,714	13.4%
3	Tariq Malik	UK Independence Party	4,992	10.0%
4	George Fussey	Liberal Democrat	4,323	8.6%
5	Derek Wall	Green Party	1,834	3.7%
6	Wisdom Da Costa	Independent	500	1.0%

2010 general election

WindsorE14001042Electorate 69,511Valid votes 49,588Invalid votes 73Majority 19,054

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Adam Afriyie	Conservative	30,172	60.8%	Elected
2	Julian Tisi	Liberal Democrat	11,118	22.4%
3	Amanjit Jhund	Labour	4,910	9.9%
4	John-Paul Rye	UK Independence Party	1,612	3.3%
5	Peter Phillips	British National Party	950	1.9%
6	Derek Wall	Green Party	628	1.3%
7	Peter Hooper	Independent	198	0.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.