Constituency

Tipton and Wednesbury

ONS code: E14001547
Lookup slug: tipton-and-wednesbury

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Tipton and Wednesbury, West Midlands

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 9.7% (3,076 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 43.0% / 74,098
Second place: Labour 27.4%

RFMReform UK

37.1%+11.7 pts

LABLabour

27.4%-9.7 pts

CONConservative

23.2%-3.3 pts

GRNGreen Party

6.2%+1.4 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

2.8%-0.1 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

2.1%+0.3 pts

OthOther

1.8%-0.3 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Tipton and WednesburyE14001547Electorate 74,098Valid votes 31,850Invalid votes 139Majority 3,385

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,634.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 16,389. Winner: 11,755.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Antonia Bance	Labour	11,755	36.9%	Elected
2	Shaun Bailey	Conservative	8,370	26.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Jack Sabharwal	Reform UK	8,019	25.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Mark Redding	Green Party	1,509	4.7%
5	Mohammed Hussain-Billa	Independent	945	3.0%
6	Abdul Husen	Independent	660	2.1%
7	Mark Rochell	Liberal Democrat	592	1.9%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.