Constituency

Tamworth

ONS code: E14001538
Lookup slug: tamworth

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Tamworth, West Midlands

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 7.2% (3,133 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 58.3% / 75,055
Second place: Conservative 28.8%

RFMReform UK

36.0%+10.8 pts

CONConservative

28.8%-3.1 pts

LABLabour

25.9%-9.1 pts

GRNGreen Party

4.9%+1.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

3.6%+0.2 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.6%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.3%-0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

TamworthE14001538Electorate 75,055Valid votes 43,788Invalid votes 116Majority 1,382

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 9,622.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,960. Winner: 15,338.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Sarah Edwards	Labour	15,338	35.0%	Elected
2	Eddie Hughes	Conservative	13,956	31.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Ian Cooper	Reform UK	11,004	25.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Susan Howarth	Green Party	1,579	3.6%
5	Jed Marson	Liberal Democrat	1,451	3.3%
6	Robert Bilcliff	UK Independence Party	290	0.7%
7	Adam Goodfellow	Workers Party of Britain	170	0.4%

2019 general election

TamworthE14000986Electorate 71,572Valid votes 46,056Invalid votes 154Majority 19,634

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Christopher Pincher	Conservative	30,542	66.3%	Elected
2	Christopher Bain	Labour + Co-operative Party	10,908	23.7%
3	Rob Wheway	Liberal Democrat	2,426	5.3%
4	Andrew Tilley	Green Party	935	2.0%
5	Robert Bilcliff	UK Independence Party	814	1.8%
6	John Wright	Independent	431	0.9%

2017 general election

TamworthE14000986Electorate 71,308Valid votes 47,110Invalid votes 180Majority 12,347

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Christopher Pincher	Conservative	28,748	61.0%	Elected
2	Andrew Hammond	Labour	16,401	34.8%
3	Jenny Pinkett	Liberal Democrat	1,961	4.2%

2015 general election

TamworthE14000986Electorate 71,913Valid votes 47,174Invalid votes 105Majority 11,302

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Christopher Pincher	Conservative	23,606	50.0%	Elected
2	Carol Dean	Labour	12,304	26.1%
3	Jan Higgins	UK Independence Party	8,727	18.5%
4	Jenny Pinkett	Liberal Democrat	1,427	3.0%
5	Nicola Holmes	Green Party	1,110	2.4%

2010 general election

TamworthE14000986Electorate 71,962Valid votes 46,390Invalid votes 92Majority 6,090

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,426.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,664. Winner: 21,238.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Chris Pincher	Conservative	21,238	45.8%	Elected
2	Brian Jenkins	Labour	15,148	32.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Jenny Pinkett	Liberal Democrat	7,516	16.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Paul Smith	UK Independence Party	2,253	4.9%
5	Charlene Detheridge	Christian Party, Proclaiming Christ's Lordship	235	0.5%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.