Constituency

St Albans

ONS code: E14001507
Lookup slug: st-albans

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Liberal Democrat hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LDM HOLD

Liberal Democrat forecast to win in St Albans, East of England

Winner: Liberal Democrat
Margin: 39.1% (20,210 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 71.0% / 72,739
Second place: Conservative 16.5%

LDMLiberal Democrat

55.6%-1.0 pts

CONConservative

16.5%-1.7 pts

RFMReform UK

13.6%+5.2 pts

GRNGreen Party

7.9%+1.6 pts

LABLabour

5.9%-4.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.2%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.2%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

St AlbansE14001507Electorate 72,739Valid votes 51,614Invalid votes 203Majority 19,834

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Daisy Cooper	Liberal Democrat	29,222	56.6%	Elected
2	James Spencer	Conservative	9,388	18.2%
3	Sophia Bhatti	Labour	5,189	10.1%
4	John Dowdle	Reform UK	4,336	8.4%
5	Simon Grover	Green Party	3,272	6.3%
6	Dafydd Morriss	Heritage Party	104	0.2%
7	Stewart Satterly	Social Democratic Party	103	0.2%

2019 general election

St AlbansE14000960Electorate 73,727Valid votes 57,599Invalid votes 173Majority 6,293

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Daisy Cooper	Liberal Democrat	28,867	50.1%	Elected
2	Anne Main	Conservative	22,574	39.2%
3	Rebecca Lury	Labour	5,000	8.7%
4	Simon Grover	Green Party	1,004	1.7%
5	Jules Sherrington	Independent	154	0.3%

2017 general election

St AlbansE14000960Electorate 72,811Valid votes 56,998Invalid votes 142Majority 6,109

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 7,028.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 31,599. Winner: 24,571.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Anne Main	Conservative	24,571	43.1%	Elected
2	Daisy Cooper	Liberal Democrat	18,462	32.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Kerry Pollard	Labour	13,137	23.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Jack Easton	Green Party	828	1.5%

2015 general election

St AlbansE14000960Electorate 75,825Valid votes 54,433Invalid votes 156Majority 12,732

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Anne Main	Conservative	25,392	46.6%	Elected
2	Kerry Pollard	Labour	12,660	23.3%
3	Sandy Walkington	Liberal Democrat	10,076	18.5%
4	Chris Wright	UK Independence Party	4,271	7.8%
5	Jack Easton	Green Party	2,034	3.7%

2010 general election

St AlbansE14000960Electorate 70,058Valid votes 52,835Invalid votes 155Majority 2,305

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 6,983.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 28,516. Winner: 21,533.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Anne Main	Conservative	21,533	40.8%	Elected
2	Sandy Walkington	Liberal Democrat	19,228	36.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Roma Mills	Labour	9,288	17.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	John Stocker	UK Independence Party	2,028	3.8%
5	Jack Easton	Green Party	758	1.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.