Constituency

Southend West and Leigh

ONS code: E14001502
Lookup slug: southend-west-and-leigh

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Conservative gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON GAIN

Conservative forecast to win in Southend West and Leigh, East of England

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 1.9% (881 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 62.5% / 75,154
Second place: Labour 27.2%

CONConservative

29.1%-2.5 pts

LABLabour

27.2%-8.5 pts

RFMReform UK

27.1%+9.5 pts

GRNGreen Party

8.6%+1.6 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

6.7%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.9%-0.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.6%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Southend West and LeighE14001502Electorate 75,154Valid votes 46,968Invalid votes 163Majority 1,949

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 6,324.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 23,063. Winner: 16,739.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	David Burton-Sampson	Labour	16,739	35.6%	Elected
2	Anna Firth	Conservative	14,790	31.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Peter Little	Reform UK	8,273	17.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Tilly Hogrebe	Green Party	3,262	6.9%
5	Stephen Cummins	Liberal Democrat	3,174	6.8%
6	James Miller	Confelicity	262	0.6%
7	Tom Darwood	Independent	172	0.4%
8	Jason Pilley	Psychedelic Movement	99	0.2%
9	Lara Hurley	Heritage Party	99	0.2%
10	Robert Francis	Independent	98	0.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.