Constituency

Solihull West and Shirley

ONS code: E14001479
Lookup slug: solihull-west-and-shirley

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Solihull West and Shirley, West Midlands

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 9.5% (4,440 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 65.3% / 71,816
Second place: Reform UK 23.6%

CONConservative

33.1%-1.6 pts

RFMReform UK

23.6%+8.4 pts

LABLabour

17.0%-7.9 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

15.8%-1.1 pts

GRNGreen Party

9.1%+2.2 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

1.3%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Solihull West and ShirleyE14001479Electorate 71,816Valid votes 46,877Invalid votes 151Majority 4,620

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,296.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 19,580. Winner: 16,284.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Neil Shastri-Hurst	Conservative	16,284	34.7%	Elected
2	Deirdre Fox	Labour	11,664	24.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Ade Adeyemo	Liberal Democrat	7,916	16.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Mary McKenna	Reform UK	7,149	15.3%
5	Max McLoughlin	Green Party	3,270	7.0%
6	Julian Knight	Independent	594	1.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.