Constituency

Sherwood Forest

ONS code: E14001471
Lookup slug: sherwood-forest

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Sherwood Forest, East Midlands

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 4.7% (2,305 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 61.7% / 78,896
Second place: Labour 29.3%

RFMReform UK

34.1%+10.7 pts

LABLabour

29.3%-9.5 pts

CONConservative

24.7%-2.9 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.9%+1.4 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

4.1%+0.3 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

1.7%-0.1 pts

OthOther

0.3%-0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Sherwood ForestE14001471Electorate 78,896Valid votes 48,660Invalid votes 161Majority 5,443

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 5,877.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,718. Winner: 18,841.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Michelle Welsh	Labour	18,841	38.7%	Elected
2	Mark Spencer	Conservative	13,398	27.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Helen O'Hare	Reform UK	11,320	23.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Sheila Greatrex-White	Green Party	2,216	4.6%
5	David Dobbie	Liberal Democrat	1,838	3.8%
6	Lee Waters	Independent	864	1.8%
7	Jeremy Spry	Independent	183	0.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.