Constituency

Rushcliffe

ONS code: E14001457
Lookup slug: rushcliffe

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Rushcliffe, East Midlands

Winner: Labour
Margin: 7.1% (4,091 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 72.9% / 79,160
Second place: Conservative 29.0%

LABLabour

36.1%-7.7 pts

CONConservative

29.0%-1.9 pts

RFMReform UK

17.9%+6.9 pts

GRNGreen Party

9.7%+2.1 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

6.1%+0.6 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

1.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.3%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

RushcliffeE14001457Electorate 79,160Valid votes 57,744Invalid votes 212Majority 7,426

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	James Naish	Labour	25,291	43.8%	Elected
2	Ruth Edwards	Conservative	17,865	30.9%
3	James Grice	Reform UK	6,353	11.0%
4	Richard Mallender	Green Party	4,367	7.6%
5	Greg Webb	Liberal Democrat	3,133	5.4%
6	Lynn Irving	Independent	549	1.0%
7	Harbant Sehra	Independent	186	0.3%

2019 general election

RushcliffeE14000908Electorate 77,047Valid votes 60,505Invalid votes 251Majority 7,643

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,957.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 30,722. Winner: 28,765.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Ruth Edwards	Conservative	28,765	47.5%	Elected
2	Cheryl Pidgeon	Labour	21,122	34.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Jason Billin	Liberal Democrat	9,600	15.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Matthew Faithfull	UK Independence Party	591	1.0%
5	John Kirby	Independent	427	0.7%

2017 general election

RushcliffeE14000908Electorate 74,738Valid votes 58,311Invalid votes 157Majority 8,010

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Kenneth Clarke	Conservative	30,223	51.8%	Elected
2	David Mellen	Labour	22,213	38.1%
3	Jayne Phoenix	Liberal Democrat	2,759	4.7%
4	Richard Mallender	Green Party	1,626	2.8%
5	Matthew Faithfull	UK Independence Party	1,490	2.6%

2015 general election

RushcliffeE14000908Electorate 73,278Valid votes 55,164Invalid votes 289Majority 13,829

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Kenneth Clarke	Conservative	28,354	51.4%	Elected
2	David Mellen	Labour	14,525	26.3%
3	Matthew Faithfull	UK Independence Party	5,943	10.8%
4	George Mallender	Green Party	3,559	6.5%
5	Bob Johnston	Liberal Democrat	2,783	5.0%

2010 general election

RushcliffeE14000908Electorate 72,955Valid votes 53,687Invalid votes 147Majority 15,811

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Ken Clarke	Conservative	27,470	51.2%	Elected
2	Karrar Khan	Liberal Democrat	11,659	21.7%
3	Andrew Clayworth	Labour	11,128	20.7%
4	Matthew Faithfull	UK Independence Party	2,179	4.1%
5	Richard Mallender	Green Party	1,251	2.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.