Constituency

Runcorn and Helsby

ONS code: E14001455
Lookup slug: runcorn-and-helsby

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Runcorn and Helsby, North West

Winner: Labour
Margin: 15.1% (6,403 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 59.7% / 70,801
Second place: Reform UK 28.2%

LABLabour

43.4%-9.6 pts

RFMReform UK

28.2%+10.1 pts

CONConservative

13.8%-2.2 pts

GRNGreen Party

8.1%+1.6 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

5.3%+0.2 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

1.1%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.2%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Runcorn and HelsbyE14001455Electorate 70,801Valid votes 42,235Invalid votes 171Majority 14,696

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Mike Amesbury	Labour	22,358	52.9%	Elected
2	Jason Moorcroft	Reform UK	7,662	18.1%
3	Jade Marsden	Conservative	6,756	16.0%
4	Chris Copeman	Green Party	2,715	6.4%
5	Chris Rowe	Liberal Democrat	2,149	5.1%
6	Danny Clarke	Liberal	479	1.1%
7	Paul Murphy	Social Democratic Party	116	0.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.