Constituency

Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner

ONS code: E14001454
Lookup slug: ruislip-northwood-and-pinner

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner, Greater London

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 24.5% (11,524 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 65.7% / 71,683
Second place: Reform UK 19.4%

CONConservative

43.9%-1.5 pts

RFMReform UK

19.4%+9.5 pts

LABLabour

18.3%-10.9 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

10.0%+0.8 pts

GRNGreen Party

8.3%+2.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerE14001454Electorate 71,683Valid votes 47,091Invalid votes 160Majority 7,581

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	David Simmonds	Conservative	21,366	45.4%	Elected
2	Tony Gill	Labour	13,785	29.3%
3	Ian Price	Reform UK	4,671	9.9%
4	Jonathan Banks	Liberal Democrat	4,343	9.2%
5	Jess Lee	Green Party	2,926	6.2%

2019 general election

Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerE14000906Electorate 72,816Valid votes 52,904Invalid votes 188Majority 16,394

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	David Simmonds	Conservative	29,391	55.6%	Elected
2	Peymana Assad	Labour	12,997	24.6%
3	Jonathan Banks	Liberal Democrat	7,986	15.1%
4	Sarah Green	Green Party	1,646	3.1%
5	Femy Amin	Animal Welfare Party	325	0.6%
6	Tracy Blackwell	Independent	295	0.6%
7	Julian Wilson	Independent	264	0.5%

2017 general election

Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerE14000906Electorate 73,427Valid votes 53,382Invalid votes 146Majority 13,980

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Nick Hurd	Conservative	30,555	57.2%	Elected
2	Rebecca Lury	Labour	16,575	31.0%
3	Alex Cunliffe	Liberal Democrat	3,813	7.1%
4	Sarah Green	Green Party	1,268	2.4%
5	Richard Braine	UK Independence Party	1,171	2.2%

2015 general election

Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerE14000906Electorate 73,216Valid votes 51,222Invalid votes 159Majority 20,224

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Nick Hurd	Conservative	30,521	59.6%	Elected
2	Michael Borio	Labour	10,297	20.1%
3	Gerard Barry	UK Independence Party	5,598	10.9%
4	Joshua Dixon	Liberal Democrat	2,537	5.0%
5	Karen Pillai	Green Party	1,801	3.5%
6	Wally Kennedy	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	302	0.6%
7	Sockalingam Yogalingam	National Liberal Party - True Liberalism	166	0.3%

2010 general election

Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerE14000906Electorate 70,873Valid votes 50,205Invalid votes 152Majority 19,060

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Nick Hurd	Conservative	28,866	57.5%	Elected
2	Anita McDonald	Labour	9,806	19.5%
3	Thomas Papworth	Liberal Democrat	8,345	16.6%
4	Jason Pontey	UK Independence Party	1,351	2.7%
5	Ian Costard	National Front	899	1.8%
6	Graham Lee	Green Party	740	1.5%
7	Ruby Akhtar	Christian Party, Proclaiming Christ's Lordship	198	0.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.