Constituency

Maidstone and Malling

ONS code: E14001349
Lookup slug: maidstone-and-malling

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Maidstone and Malling, South East

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 1.5% (696 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 60.7% / 76,449
Second place: Conservative 28.6%

RFMReform UK

30.1%+10.0 pts

CONConservative

28.6%-1.9 pts

LABLabour

18.6%-8.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

12.3%-1.5 pts

GRNGreen Party

9.9%+1.8 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.4%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.3%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Maidstone and MallingE14001349Electorate 76,449Valid votes 46,389Invalid votes 131Majority 1,674

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 7,642.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,788. Winner: 14,146.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Helen Grant	Conservative	14,146	30.5%	Elected
2	Maureen Cleator	Labour	12,472	26.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Paul Thomas	Reform UK	9,316	20.1%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	David Naghi	Liberal Democrat	6,375	13.7%
5	Stuart Jeffery	Green Party	3,727	8.0%
6	Yolande Kenward	Independent	197	0.4%
7	Gary Butler	British Democratic Party	156	0.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.