Constituency

Keighley and Ilkley

ONS code: E14001308
Lookup slug: keighley-and-ilkley

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Keighley and Ilkley, Yorkshire and the Humber

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 10.9% (5,056 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 62.1% / 74,367
Second place: Labour 28.1%

CONConservative

39.1%-1.4 pts

LABLabour

28.1%-8.8 pts

RFMReform UK

17.9%+7.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

7.2%+1.9 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

4.5%+0.1 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

2.9%+0.8 pts

OthOther

0.8%-0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Keighley and IlkleyE14001308Electorate 74,367Valid votes 46,186Invalid votes 175Majority 1,625

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,157.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,746. Winner: 18,589.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Robbie Moore	Conservative	18,589	40.2%	Elected
2	John Grogan	Labour	16,964	36.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Andrew Judson	Reform UK	4,782	10.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	John Wood	Green Party	2,447	5.3%
5	Vaz Shabir	Independent	2,036	4.4%
6	Chris Adams	Liberal Democrat	970	2.1%
7	Dominic Atlas	The Yorkshire Party	398	0.9%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.