Constituency

Holborn and St Pancras

ONS code: E14001290
Lookup slug: holborn-and-st-pancras

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Holborn and St Pancras, Greater London

Winner: Labour
Margin: 20.4% (7,888 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 54.1% / 71,300
Second place: Minor parties and independents 18.5%

LABLabour

39.0%-10.0 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

18.5%-0.5 pts

GRNGreen Party

14.1%+3.6 pts

RFMReform UK

12.8%+6.6 pts

CONConservative

7.2%0.0 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

6.6%+0.8 pts

OthOther

2.1%-0.5 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Holborn and St PancrasE14001290Electorate 71,300Valid votes 38,602Invalid votes 223Majority 11,572

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Keir Starmer	Labour	18,884	48.9%	Elected
2	Andrew Feinstein	Independent	7,312	18.9%
3	David Stansell	Green Party	4,030	10.4%
4	Mehreen Malik	Conservative	2,776	7.2%
5	David Roberts	Reform UK	2,371	6.1%
6	Charlie Clinton	Liberal Democrat	2,236	5.8%
7	Wais Islam	Independent	636	1.6%
8	Nick the Incredible Flying Brick	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	162	0.4%
9	John Poynton	UK Independence Party	75	0.2%
10	Tom Scripps	Socialist Equality Party	61	0.2%
11	Senthil Kumar	Independent	40	0.1%
12	Bobby Smith	Independent	19	0.0%

2019 general election

Holborn and St PancrasE14000750Electorate 86,061Valid votes 56,786Invalid votes 232Majority 27,763

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Keir Starmer	Labour	36,641	64.5%	Elected
2	Alexandra Hayward	Conservative	8,878	15.6%
3	Matthew Kirk	Liberal Democrat	7,314	12.9%
4	Kirsten de Keyser	Green Party	2,746	4.8%
5	Hector Birchwood	The Brexit Party	1,032	1.8%
6	Mohammad Bhatti	UK Independence Party	138	0.2%
7	Thomas Scripps	Socialist Equality Party	37	0.1%

2017 general election

Holborn and St PancrasE14000750Electorate 88,088Valid votes 58,997Invalid votes 178Majority 30,509

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Keir Starmer	Labour	41,343	70.1%	Elected
2	Tim Barnes	Conservative	10,834	18.4%
3	Stephen Crosher	Liberal Democrat	4,020	6.8%
4	Sian Berry	Green Party	1,980	3.4%
5	Giles Game	UK Independence Party	727	1.2%
6	Janus Polenceus	English Democrats	93	0.2%

2015 general election

Holborn and St PancrasE14000750Electorate 86,764Valid votes 54,917Invalid votes 219Majority 17,048

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Keir Starmer	Labour	29,062	52.9%	Elected
2	Will Blair	Conservative	12,014	21.9%
3	Natalie Bennett	Green Party	7,013	12.8%
4	Jill Fraser	Liberal Democrat	3,555	6.5%
5	Maxine Spencer	UK Independence Party	2,740	5.0%
6	Shane O'Donnell	Cannabis Is Safer Than Alcohol	252	0.5%
7	Vanessa Hudson	Animal Welfare Party	173	0.3%
8	David O'Sullivan	Socialist Equality Party	108	0.2%

2010 general election

Holborn and St PancrasE14000750Electorate 86,563Valid votes 54,649Invalid votes 302Majority 9,942

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 1,192.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 26,390. Winner: 25,198.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Frank Dobson	Labour	25,198	46.1%	Elected
2	Jo Shaw	Liberal Democrat	15,256	27.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	George Lee	Conservative	11,134	20.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Natalie Bennett	Green Party	1,480	2.7%
5	Robert Carlyle	British National Party	779	1.4%
6	Max Spencer	UK Independence Party	587	1.1%
7	John Chapman	Independent	96	0.2%
8	Mikel Susperregi	English Democrats	75	0.1%
9	Iain Meek	Independent	44	0.1%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.