Constituency

Harrow West

ONS code: E14001271
Lookup slug: harrow-west

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Harrow West, Greater London

Winner: Labour
Margin: 5.9% (2,663 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 56.6% / 79,902
Second place: Conservative 28.7%

LABLabour

34.6%-9.5 pts

CONConservative

28.7%-0.7 pts

RFMReform UK

13.1%+7.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

9.0%-0.1 pts

GRNGreen Party

7.8%+2.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

6.3%+0.9 pts

OthOther

1.4%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Harrow WestE14001271Electorate 79,902Valid votes 45,241Invalid votes 150Majority 6,642

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Gareth Thomas	Labour + Co-operative Party	19,833	43.8%	Elected
2	Abbas Merali	Conservative	13,191	29.2%
3	Pamela Fitzpatrick	Independent	4,120	9.1%
4	Michael Beavis	Reform UK	2,639	5.8%
5	Rupert Nepal George	Green Party	2,438	5.4%
6	Chris Noyce	Liberal Democrat	2,404	5.3%
7	Bharatkumar Ishverbhai Patel	Independent	616	1.4%

2019 general election

Harrow WestE14000732Electorate 72,464Valid votes 47,922Invalid votes 158Majority 8,692

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Gareth Thomas	Labour + Co-operative Party	25,132	52.4%	Elected
2	Anwara Ali	Conservative	16,440	34.3%
3	Lisa-Maria Bornemann	Liberal Democrat	4,310	9.0%
4	Rowan Langley	Green Party	1,109	2.3%
5	Richard Jones	The Brexit Party	931	1.9%

2017 general election

Harrow WestE14000732Electorate 69,797Valid votes 50,355Invalid votes 128Majority 13,314

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Gareth Thomas	Labour + Co-operative Party	30,640	60.8%	Elected
2	Hannah David	Conservative	17,326	34.4%
3	Christopher Noyce	Liberal Democrat	1,267	2.5%
4	Rowan Langley	Green Party	652	1.3%
5	Rathy Alagaratnam	UK Independence Party	470	0.9%

2015 general election

Harrow WestE14000732Electorate 69,644Valid votes 46,603Invalid votes 136Majority 2,208

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Gareth Thomas	Labour + Co-operative Party	21,885	47.0%	Elected
2	Hannah David	Conservative	19,677	42.2%
3	Mohammad Bhatti	UK Independence Party	2,047	4.4%
4	Christopher Noyce	Liberal Democrat	1,567	3.4%
5	Rowan Langley	Green Party	1,310	2.8%
6	Kailash Trivedi	Independent	117	0.3%

2010 general election

Harrow WestE14000732Electorate 68,554Valid votes 46,116Invalid votes 159Majority 3,143

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,315.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,426. Winner: 20,111.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Gareth Thomas	Labour + Co-operative Party	20,111	43.6%	Elected
2	Rachel Joyce	Conservative	16,968	36.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Christopher Noyce	Liberal Democrat	7,458	16.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Herbert Crossman	UK Independence Party	954	2.1%
5	Rowan Langley	Green Party	625	1.4%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.