Constituency

Harrow East

ONS code: E14001270
Lookup slug: harrow-east

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Harrow East, Greater London

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 35.4% (16,904 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 62.4% / 76,513
Second place: Labour 18.8%

CONConservative

54.3%+0.8 pts

LABLabour

18.8%-10.2 pts

RFMReform UK

10.8%+6.2 pts

GRNGreen Party

6.1%+1.9 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

4.5%+1.3 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

4.4%0.0 pts

OthOther

1.5%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Harrow EastE14001270Electorate 76,513Valid votes 47,777Invalid votes 204Majority 11,680

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Bob Blackman	Conservative	25,466	53.3%	Elected
2	Primesh Patel	Labour	13,786	28.9%
3	Roger Clark	Reform UK	2,188	4.6%
4	Sabira Lakha	Independent	2,097	4.4%
5	Seb Newsam	Green Party	2,006	4.2%
6	Reetendra Nath Banjeri	Liberal Democrat	1,511	3.2%
7	Sarajulhaq Parwani	Workers Party of Britain	723	1.5%

2019 general election

Harrow EastE14000731Electorate 72,106Valid votes 49,491Invalid votes 237Majority 8,170

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Bob Blackman	Conservative	26,935	54.4%	Elected
2	Pamela Fitzpatrick	Labour	18,765	37.9%
3	Adam Bernard	Liberal Democrat	3,791	7.7%

2017 general election

Harrow EastE14000731Electorate 71,755Valid votes 50,845Invalid votes 142Majority 1,757

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Bob Blackman	Conservative	25,129	49.4%	Elected
2	Navin Shah	Labour	23,372	46.0%
3	Adam Bernard	Liberal Democrat	1,573	3.1%
4	Emma Wallace	Green Party	771	1.5%

2015 general election

Harrow EastE14000731Electorate 70,981Valid votes 49,000Invalid votes 143Majority 4,757

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Bob Blackman	Conservative	24,668	50.3%	Elected
2	Uma Kumaran	Labour	19,911	40.6%
3	Aidan Powlesland	UK Independence Party	2,333	4.8%
4	Ross Barlow	Liberal Democrat	1,037	2.1%
5	Emma Wallace	Green Party	846	1.7%
6	Nana Asante-Twumasi	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	205	0.4%

2010 general election

Harrow EastE14000731Electorate 70,510Valid votes 48,006Invalid votes 218Majority 3,403

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,447.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 24,882. Winner: 21,435.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Bob Blackman	Conservative	21,435	44.7%	Elected
2	Tony McNulty	Labour	18,032	37.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Nahid Boethe	Liberal Democrat	6,850	14.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Abhijit Pandya	UK Independence Party	896	1.9%
5	Madeleine Atkins	Green Party	793	1.7%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.