Constituency

Edmonton and Winchmore Hill

ONS code: E14001221
Lookup slug: edmonton-and-winchmore-hill

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Labour hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LAB HOLD

Labour forecast to win in Edmonton and Winchmore Hill, Greater London

Winner: Labour
Margin: 20.9% (8,577 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 54.2% / 75,792
Second place: Conservative 18.4%

LABLabour

39.3%-10.8 pts

CONConservative

18.4%-0.9 pts

RFMReform UK

17.1%+8.5 pts

GRNGreen Party

12.1%+3.0 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

7.2%+0.6 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

3.9%-0.2 pts

OthOther

2.4%-0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Edmonton and Winchmore HillE14001221Electorate 75,792Valid votes 41,045Invalid votes 204Majority 12,632

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Kate Osamor	Labour + Co-operative Party	20,520	50.0%	Elected
2	Zoe Huggins	Conservative	7,888	19.2%
3	Luke Balnave	Green Party	3,681	9.0%
4	Neville Watson	Reform UK	3,501	8.5%
5	Tim Martin	Liberal Democrat	2,721	6.6%
6	Khalid Sadur	Independent	1,700	4.1%
7	Denise Headley	Workers Party of Britain	668	1.6%
8	Yemi Awolola	Christian Peoples Alliance	366	0.9%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.