Constituency

Dunfermline and Dollar

ONS code: S14000076
Lookup slug: dunfermline-and-dollar

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Scottish National Party gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

SNP GAIN

Scottish National Party forecast to win in Dunfermline and Dollar, Scotland

Winner: Scottish National Party
Margin: 1.2% (548 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 61.2% / 72,824
Second place: Labour 29.3%

SNPScottish National Party

30.5%+3.3 pts

LABLabour

29.3%-16.4 pts

RFMReform UK

17.5%+11.1 pts

CONConservative

7.7%+0.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

7.5%+0.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.9%+1.2 pts

OthOther

0.8%0.0 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.7%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Dunfermline and DollarS14000076Electorate 72,824Valid votes 44,537Invalid votes 140Majority 8,241

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Graeme Downie	Labour	20,336	45.7%	Elected
2	Naz Anis-Miah	Scottish National Party	12,095	27.2%
3	Thomas Heald	Conservative	3,297	7.4%
4	Lauren Buchanan-Quigley	Liberal Democrat	3,181	7.1%
5	Udo van den Brock	Reform UK	2,887	6.5%
6	Ryan Blackadder	Scottish Green Party	2,078	4.7%
7	Graham Hadley	Independent	324	0.7%
8	Danny Smith	Scottish Family Party	251	0.6%
9	George Morton	Independent	88	0.2%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.