Constituency

Chorley

ONS code: E14001170
Lookup slug: chorley

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Speaker hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

SPKR HOLD

Minor parties and independents forecast to win in Chorley, North West

Winner: Minor parties and independents
Margin: Not recorded (Not recorded votes)
Turnout / electorate: 45.4% / 74,801
Second place: Green Party 14.7%

MINMinor parties and independents

72.7%+2.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

14.7%-0.1 pts

OthOther

10.4%-2.3 pts

LABLabour

8.3%0.0 pts

RFMReform UK

1.5%0.0 pts

CONConservative

0.0%0.0 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

0.0%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

ChorleyE14001170Electorate 74,801Valid votes 33,964Invalid votes 1,198Majority 20,575

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Lindsay Hoyle	No party certification recorded	25,238	74.3%	Elected
2	Mark Tebbutt	Green Party	4,663	13.7%
3	Ben Holden-Crowther	Democracy for Chorley	2,424	7.1%
4	Graham Moore	English Constitution Party	1,007	3.0%
5	Martin Powell-Davies	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	632	1.9%

2019 general election

ChorleyE14000637Electorate 77,072Valid votes 39,870Invalid votes 1,303Majority 17,392

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Lindsay Hoyle	No party certification recorded	26,831	67.3%	Elected
2	Mark Brexit-Smith	Independent	9,439	23.7%
3	James Melling	Green Party	3,600	9.0%

2017 general election

ChorleyE14000637Electorate 76,404Valid votes 55,634Invalid votes 134Majority 7,512

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Lindsay Hoyle	Labour	30,745	55.3%	Elected
2	Caroline Moon	Conservative	23,233	41.8%
3	Stephen Fenn	Liberal Democrat	1,126	2.0%
4	Peter Lageard	Green Party	530	1.0%

2015 general election

ChorleyE14000637Electorate 74,679Valid votes 51,712Invalid votes 142Majority 4,530

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 2,465.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 25,787. Winner: 23,322.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Lindsay Hoyle	Labour	23,322	45.1%	Elected
2	Rob Loughenbury	Conservative	18,792	36.3%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Mark Smith	UK Independence Party	6,995	13.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Stephen Fenn	Liberal Democrat	1,354	2.6%
5	Alistair Straw	Green Party	1,111	2.1%
6	Adrian Maudsley	Independent	138	0.3%

2010 general election

ChorleyE14000637Electorate 70,976Valid votes 49,774Invalid votes 148Majority 2,593

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,364.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 25,879. Winner: 21,515.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Lindsay Hoyle	Labour	21,515	43.2%	Elected
2	Alan Cullens	Conservative	18,922	38.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Stephen Fenn	Liberal Democrat	6,957	14.0%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Nick Hogan	UK Independence Party	2,021	4.1%
5	Chris Curtis	Independent	359	0.7%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.